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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankclaudionetotraderFlaznorpUpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)46% (560–665, n=1225)58% (1072–790, n=1862)53% (5923–5296, n=11219)50% (19560–19625, n=39185)
Consensus PnL$11.2M$86K$3.3M$3.1M
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #726PM monthly #21PM monthly #8
Sides with the consensus48% (10 of 21 open)no open consensus position63% (214 of 339 open)70% (100 of 142 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=141, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=280, ROI +38%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • MLB +59 pts n=918, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topic——Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%63% of 1491 at avg 58¢, ROI +3%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 81% of 57)29% (won 12% of 428)29% (won 11% of 423)7% (won 99% of 2623)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 201)10% (won 37% of 155)16% (won 40% of 243)21% (won 100% of 7839)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 99% of 196)14% (won 75% of 214)17% (won 62% of 255)22% (won 100% of 8452)
Entries 70¢ and up19% (won 100% of 109)47% (won 97% of 694)38% (won 94% of 561)51% (won 100% of 19323)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

20 on the same side, 16 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankclaudionetotraderFlaznorpUpTheBlues
Will KV Kortrijk win on 2026-10-23?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $311No $26K
Will CD Tenerife win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $6.1KNo $3.1K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $5Under $5.2K
Spread: CD Tenerife (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus FC Andorra
——FC Andorra $344CD Tenerife $2.0K
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $420Under $762
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $720Over $5
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $495Yes $192
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $262Athletic Club $347
Boluspor leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $10No $288
Will Levante UD win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——No $23Yes $273
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——No $111Yes $3
Spread: Levante UD (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Levante UD
——CD Tarancón $11Levante UD $86
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $42Yes $36
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $51Under $12
Will Gateshead FC win on 2026-10-23?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $2No $42
CD Tarancón vs. Levante UD: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $24Under $4
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $13KUnder $21K
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
——No $1.0KNo $16K
Will FC Andorra win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
——No $6.1KNo $3.3K
Will CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra end in a draw?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $1.5KYes $6.0K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $1.4KUnder $3.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $2.6KUnder $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
——No $1.1KNo $2.6K
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
same side · consensus No
——No $1.7KNo $1.2K
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
——Boluspor $751Boluspor $1.5K
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 3 Athletic Club?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $1.1KYes $161
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $101Under $931
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: CD Tenerife O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $142Under $715
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $311Under $416
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $705Over $5
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $645Under $44
CD Anaitasuna vs. Deportivo Alavés: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $14Yes $175
Spread: SD Eibar (-2.5)
same side · consensus CD Pamplona
——CD Pamplona $127CD Pamplona $6
Spread: CD Tenerife (-3.5)
same side · consensus FC Andorra
——FC Andorra $98FC Andorra $16
Will Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
——No $21No $61
RSC Anderlecht Futures vs. Koninklijke Lierse Sportkring: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $4Under $3