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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | capnjack1497 | Flaznorp | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 46% (560–667, n=1227) | 20% (9–35, n=44) | 53% (5928–5310, n=11238) | 47% (13371–14881, n=28252) |
| Consensus PnL | $9.4M | -$60K | $3.3M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | was PM monthly #979 | PM monthly #16 | PM monthly #30 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 59% (16 of 27 open) | no open consensus position | 64% (163 of 256 open) | 58% (111 of 193 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 46% of 109 at avg 41¢, ROI +15% | 56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 29% (won 16% of 32) | 29% (won 11% of 423) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 28% (won 40% of 30) | 16% (won 40% of 243) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 43% (won 70% of 47) | 17% (won 62% of 255) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 0% | 38% (won 94% of 561) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
43 on the same side, 27 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | capnjack1497 | Flaznorp | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Hawks (-3.5) same side · consensus Hawks | Hawks $66 | — | Hawks $193 | Hawks $128 |
| Jazz vs. Pelicans opposite sides · consensus Pelicans | Jazz $70K | — | Pelicans $36 | — |
| Spread: Pelicans (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Jazz $19K | — | — | Pelicans $121 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $13K | Over $1.5K |
| Will Club Guarani Asuncion win on 2026-11-08? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $6.1K | Yes $4.8K |
| Sportivo Ameliano vs. Club Guarani Asuncion: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $5.2K | Over $69 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $1.4K | Over $2.4K |
| Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan opposite sides · consensus Eastern Michigan | — | — | Eastern Michigan $333 | Central Michigan $3.3K |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $317 | No $2.6K |
| Costa do Sauipe: Gonzalo Bueno vs Eduardo Ribeiro opposite sides · consensus Gonzalo Bueno | — | — | Gonzalo Bueno $1.2K | Eduardo Ribeiro $1.5K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $2.6K | Over $35 |
| Will Independiente Santa Fe win on 2026-11-02? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $2.2K | No $163 |
| M25 Guadalajara: Mauricio Echazu vs Maxwell McKennon opposite sides · consensus Mauricio Echazu | — | — | Maxwell McKennon $823 | Mauricio Echazu $1.0K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $1.1K | Yes $7 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $486 | No $529 |
| Will Club Olimpia win on 2026-11-08? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $977 | No $5 |
| CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $713 | Over $268 |
| Spread: Thunder (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Thunder | — | — | Cavaliers $304 | Thunder $273 |
| Spread: Hawks (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Wizards | — | — | Hawks $237 | Wizards $98 |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Pacers | — | — | Pacers $215 | Grizzlies $118 |
| Hornets vs. Nets: O/U 214.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $160 | Under $131 |
| Spread: Lakers (-12.5) opposite sides · consensus Kings | — | — | Lakers $27 | Kings $253 |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers | — | — | Suns $124 | Trail Blazers $98 |
| Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 227.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $123 | Over $86 |
| 76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 217.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $105 | Over $84 |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | — | — | Grizzlies $32 | Pacers $139 |
| Spread: 76ers (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Pistons | — | — | 76ers $9 | Pistons $109 |
| Will Cúcuta Deportivo FC win on 2026-11-02? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $25 | Yes $63 |
| 76ers vs. Pistons same side · consensus Pistons | Pistons $204K | — | Pistons $2.8K | — |
| Spread: Pelicans (-4.5) same side · consensus Pelicans | Jazz $30K | — | Jazz $4 | — |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Tomas Machac same side · consensus Arthur Fils | — | — | Arthur Fils $5.6K | Arthur Fils $11K |
| Bratislava 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Mika Brunold same side · consensus Nishesh Basavareddy | — | — | Nishesh Basavareddy $4.7K | Nishesh Basavareddy $8.2K |
| Spread: Celtics (-11.5) same side · consensus Celtics | Celtics $8.7K | — | Celtics $215 | — |
| Will Metropolitanos FC win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $4.8K | No $2.6K |
| Cali: Jazmin Ortenzi vs Bianca Andreescu same side · consensus Bianca Andreescu | — | — | Bianca Andreescu $1.4K | Bianca Andreescu $3.2K |
| Will Sportivo Ameliano win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $2.5K | No $1.9K |
| São Paulo FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Under $3.5K | Under $67 |
| Costa do Sauipe: Igor Ribeiro Marcondes vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli same side · consensus Camilo Ugo Carabelli | — | — | Camilo Ugo Carabelli $589 | Camilo Ugo Carabelli $2.6K |
| Spread: Pistons (-2.5) same side · consensus 76ers | — | — | 76ers $2.7K | 76ers $240 |
| Spread: Pistons (-3.5) same side · consensus Pistons | Pistons $954 | — | Pistons $1.3K | — |
| Will Carabobo FC win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus No | — | — | Yes $754 | Yes $961 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Over $5 | Over $1.5K |
| Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $42 | No $1.3K |
| M25 Harlingen, TX: Filip Jeff Planinsek vs Jordan Lee same side · consensus Filip Jeff Planinsek | — | — | Filip Jeff Planinsek $26 | Filip Jeff Planinsek $1.3K |
| CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 5.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $1.2K | Under $75 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Under $101 | Under $1.1K |
| Cali: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Solana Sierra same side · consensus Leyre Romero Gormaz | — | — | Solana Sierra $286 | Solana Sierra $476 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $720 | Under $20 |
| Spread: Wizards (-1.5) same side · consensus Hawks | — | — | Hawks $429 | Hawks $288 |
| CR Flamengo vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 7.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $611 | Under $84 |