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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpomnibus-076daaprimm
Record (consensus markets)45% (571–700, n=1271)53% (5952–5311, n=11263)50% (15178–15196, n=30374)50% (1082–1097, n=2179)
Consensus PnL$9.4M$3.3M$3.1M$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #22PM monthly #59PM monthly #51
Sides with the consensus59% (17 of 29 open)68% (221 of 323 open)54% (76 of 142 open)67% (26 of 39 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%92% of 11270 at avg 61¢, ROI +32%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)29% (won 11% of 423)8% (won 60% of 874)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)16% (won 40% of 243)21% (won 87% of 2384)41% (won 99% of 405)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)17% (won 62% of 255)38% (won 95% of 4296)49% (won 99% of 485)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)38% (won 94% of 561)33% (won 99% of 3716)5% (won 100% of 46)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

40 on the same side, 32 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpomnibus-076daaprimm
Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
Grizzlies $218KPacers $2.9KGrizzlies $2—
76ers vs. Pistons
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
Pistons $90K76ers $7.5KPistons $726—
Spread: Pelicans (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
Jazz $19KPelicans $823Pelicans $4—
Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan
same side · consensus Central Michigan
—Eastern Michigan $60Eastern Michigan $3Eastern Michigan $417
Jazz vs. Pelicans
opposite sides · consensus Pelicans
Jazz $75K—Pelicans $16—
Spread: Pelicans (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
Jazz $30K—Pelicans $3—
Spread: Celtics (-11.5)
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
Celtics $14KBucks $2.4K——
Trail Blazers vs. Suns
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
—Suns $2.4KTrail Blazers $2.1K—
76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 218.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $3.6KOver $186—
FC Famalicão vs. FC Arouca: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $1.5KUnder $2.2K—
Spread: UMass (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ball State
——UMass $540Ball State $2.5K
Jazz vs. Pelicans: O/U 231.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.7KOver $13—
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.7KYes $10—
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.0K—Yes $149—
Toledo vs. Sacramento State
opposite sides · consensus Toledo
—Sacramento State $215Toledo $796—
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $486Yes $358—
Pacers vs. Grizzlies
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
—Grizzlies $663Pacers $76—
Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $514Under $207—
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
Grizzlies $357Pacers $269——
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Mika Stojsavljevic vs Zeynep Sonmez
opposite sides · consensus Zeynep Sonmez
—Mika Stojsavljevic $36Zeynep Sonmez $457—
Maccabi Tel Aviv FC vs. Maccabi Petah Tikva FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $197Over $166—
Will KAA Gent win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $257Yes $71—
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $90Yes $214—
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $297No $7—
AHL: Texas Stars vs. Grand Rapids Griffins
opposite sides · consensus Grand Rapids Griffins
—Grand Rapids Griffins $28Texas Stars $195—
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $143Over $28—
Timberwolves vs. Rockets
opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves
—Timberwolves $104Rockets $60—
Will Club Universitario de Deportes vs. Sport Boys Association end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $121Yes $23—
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $136Yes $3—
Luanda: Justina Mikulskyte vs Tiphanie Lemaitre
opposite sides · consensus Justina Mikulskyte
—Justina Mikulskyte $2Tiphanie Lemaitre $98—
CD Universidad de Concepción vs. O'Higgins FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $53Under $42—
Spread: Central Michigan (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan
——Eastern Michigan $82Central Michigan $6
AHL: San Jose Barracuda vs. Ontario Reign
opposite sides · consensus San Jose Barracuda
—San Jose Barracuda $15Ontario Reign $56—
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
Yes $21K—Yes $113—
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $15K—Yes $215—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $13KUnder $1.6K—
Bucks vs. Celtics: O/U 222.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $13KUnder $391—
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $2.8KNo $9.9K—
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $4.5KNo $177—
76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 207.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $4.0KOver $413—
Spread: Celtics (-17.5)
same side · consensus Bucks
—Bucks $3.6KBucks $197—
Hornets vs. Nets
same side · consensus Hornets
—Hornets $3.3KHornets $83—
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $2.5KYes $432—
Bucks vs. Celtics: O/U 225.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.4KUnder $1.4K—
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $2.6K—Yes $69—
Spread: Celtics (-12.5)
same side · consensus Celtics
Celtics $880Celtics $1.3K——
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)
same side · consensus Pistons
Pistons $442Pistons $1.5K——
M15 San Gregorio di Catania: Giannicola Misasi vs Mariano Tammaro
same side · consensus Giannicola Misasi
—Giannicola Misasi $69Giannicola Misasi $1.7K—
Spread: Knicks (-11.5)
same side · consensus Knicks
—Knicks $988Knicks $535—
Spread: Lakers (-11.5)
same side · consensus Kings
—Lakers $606Lakers $619—