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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | hideki.hirata | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 46% (560–667, n=1227) | 53% (5928–5310, n=11238) | no settled market | 50% (19558–19625, n=39183) |
| Consensus PnL | $9.4M | $3.3M | — | $3.1M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #21 | PM monthly #621 | PM monthly #8 |
| Sides with the consensus | 60% (15 of 25 open) | 66% (285 of 431 open) | no open consensus position | 66% (82 of 124 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled | |||
| Weakest topic | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 50% of 2 at avg 29¢, ROI +3% | 100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 29% (won 11% of 423) | 50% (won 0% of 1) | 7% (won 99% of 2623) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 16% (won 40% of 243) | 50% (won 100% of 1) | 21% (won 100% of 7839) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 17% (won 62% of 255) | 0% | 22% (won 100% of 8452) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 38% (won 94% of 561) | 0% | 51% (won 100% of 19323) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
20 on the same side, 17 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | hideki.hirata | UpTheBlues |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-04? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $64K | Yes $87K | — | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $5 | — | Under $5.2K |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $420 | — | Under $762 |
| Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $990 | — | Yes $4 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $720 | — | Over $5 |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $262 | — | Athletic Club $347 |
| Spread: CD Tenerife (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus FC Andorra | — | FC Andorra $517 | — | CD Tenerife $45 |
| Will KV Kortrijk vs. Yellow-Red KV Mechelen end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $335 | — | Yes $84 |
| Boluspor leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $10 | — | No $288 |
| Will Levante UD win on 2026-10-28? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $23 | — | Yes $273 |
| Spread: CD Tenerife (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus FC Andorra | — | CD Tenerife $99 | — | FC Andorra $191 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $111 | — | Yes $3 |
| Spread: Levante UD (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Levante UD | — | CD Tarancón $11 | — | Levante UD $86 |
| Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $42 | — | Yes $36 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $51 | — | Under $12 |
| Will Gateshead FC win on 2026-10-23? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $2 | — | No $42 |
| CD Tarancón vs. Levante UD: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $24 | — | Under $4 |
| Will AEK win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus No | No $651K | No $40K | — | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $13K | — | Under $21K |
| Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus No | No $3.2K | No $15K | — | — |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | No $1.0K | — | No $15K |
| Spread: Celtics (-11.5) same side · consensus Celtics | Celtics $6.2K | Celtics $215 | — | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $1.4K | — | Under $3.2K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $2.6K | — | Under $1.5K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score same side · consensus No | — | No $1.1K | — | No $2.6K |
| CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 4.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $713 | — | Under $2.7K |
| Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14? same side · consensus No | — | No $1.7K | — | No $1.2K |
| CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: Both Teams to Score same side · consensus No | — | No $1.5K | — | No $26 |
| CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 5.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $1.2K | — | Under $155 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $1.2K | — | Over $8 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $101 | — | Under $931 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $311 | — | Under $416 |
| CD Anaitasuna vs. Deportivo Alavés: Both Teams to Score same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $14 | — | Yes $175 |
| Spread: SD Eibar (-2.5) same side · consensus CD Pamplona | — | CD Pamplona $127 | — | CD Pamplona $6 |
| Will Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor end in a draw? same side · consensus No | — | No $21 | — | No $61 |
| Will RSC Anderlecht Futures vs. Koninklijke Lierse Sportkring end in a draw? same side · consensus Yes | — | No $20 | — | No $47 |
| RSC Anderlecht Futures vs. Koninklijke Lierse Sportkring: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $16 | — | Under $3 |