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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpRN1strider-
Record (consensus markets)46% (560–667, n=1227)53% (5928–5310, n=11238)47% (13371–14881, n=28252)88% (72–10, n=82)
Consensus PnL$9.4M$3.3M$14.8M$45K
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #16PM monthly #30 + pinnedPM monthly #797
Sides with the consensus60% (15 of 25 open)67% (192 of 288 open)59% (126 of 212 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—Geopolitics −1 pts, n=28
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%83% of 81 at avg 74¢, ROI +5%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)29% (won 11% of 423)10% (won 57% of 2538)15% (won 25% of 12)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)16% (won 40% of 243)22% (won 94% of 5565)7% (won 50% of 6)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)17% (won 62% of 255)36% (won 99% of 9017)11% (won 78% of 9)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)38% (won 94% of 561)33% (won 100% of 8250)67% (won 100% of 54)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

53 on the same side, 32 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpRN1strider-
Spread: Hawks (-3.5)
same side · consensus Hawks
Hawks $66Hawks $193Hawks $128—
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $27KNo $3.6K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13KOver $1.5K—
Will Club Guarani Asuncion win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $6.1KYes $4.8K—
CR Flamengo vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $4.8KOver $2.6K—
Sportivo Ameliano vs. Club Guarani Asuncion: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $5.2KOver $69—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $1.4KOver $2.4K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $317No $2.6K—
CA Paranaense vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $2.5KUnder $319—
Costa do Sauipe: Gonzalo Bueno vs Eduardo Ribeiro
opposite sides · consensus Gonzalo Bueno
—Gonzalo Bueno $1.2KEduardo Ribeiro $1.5K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6KOver $35—
CR Flamengo vs. Grêmio FBPA: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.9KYes $583—
CR Flamengo vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.7KOver $334—
M25 Guadalajara: Mauricio Echazu vs Maxwell McKennon
opposite sides · consensus Mauricio Echazu
—Maxwell McKennon $823Mauricio Echazu $1.0K—
Exact Score: CR Flamengo 3 - 1 Grêmio FBPA?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.2KYes $56—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.1KYes $7—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $486No $529—
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $713Over $268—
Will FK Zeleznicar Pancevo win on 2026-11-02?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $213No $677—
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Thunder
—Cavaliers $304Thunder $273—
Spread: Hawks (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Wizards
—Hawks $237Wizards $98—
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
—Pacers $215Grizzlies $118—
Hornets vs. Nets: O/U 214.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $160Under $131—
Exact Score: CA Paranaense 1 - 2 CR Vasco da Gama?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $142Yes $127—
Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
—Suns $124Trail Blazers $98—
Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $123Over $86—
Exact Score: CR Flamengo 3 - 0 Grêmio FBPA?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $164Yes $11—
Spread: Grizzlies (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
—Grizzlies $32Pacers $139—
Spread: Lakers (-12.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
—Lakers $27Kings $131—
Spread: 76ers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
—76ers $9Pistons $109—
76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 217.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $16Over $84—
Will Cúcuta Deportivo FC win on 2026-11-02?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $25Yes $36—
Exact Score: CA Paranaense 2 - 0 CR Vasco da Gama?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $20Yes $5—
76ers vs. Pistons
same side · consensus Pistons
Pistons $204KPistons $2.2K——
Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
—No $20KNo $17K—
Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Tomas Machac
same side · consensus Arthur Fils
—Arthur Fils $5.6KArthur Fils $11K—
Bratislava 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Mika Brunold
same side · consensus Nishesh Basavareddy
—Nishesh Basavareddy $4.7KNishesh Basavareddy $8.2K—
Will CR Flamengo vs. Grêmio FBPA end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $8.6KNo $917—
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $4.2KYes $5.3K—
Spread: Celtics (-11.5)
same side · consensus Celtics
Celtics $8.6KCeltics $215——
Will Metropolitanos FC win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
—No $4.8KNo $2.6K—
CA Paranaense vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $3.6KUnder $1.2K—
Cali: Jazmin Ortenzi vs Bianca Andreescu
same side · consensus Bianca Andreescu
—Bianca Andreescu $1.4KBianca Andreescu $3.2K—
Will Sportivo Ameliano win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $2.5KNo $1.9K—
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.1KNo $3.0K—
CA Paranaense vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $2.9KOver $375—
Costa do Sauipe: Igor Ribeiro Marcondes vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli
same side · consensus Camilo Ugo Carabelli
—Camilo Ugo Carabelli $589Camilo Ugo Carabelli $2.6K—
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)
same side · consensus 76ers
—76ers $2.7K76ers $240—
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)
same side · consensus Pistons
Pistons $954Pistons $1.3K——
Will Carabobo FC win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $561Yes $961—