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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpRN1UpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)46% (560–666, n=1226)53% (5927–5304, n=11231)47% (13363–14875, n=28238)50% (19560–19625, n=39185)
Consensus PnL$11.2M$3.3M$14.8M$3.1M
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #21PM monthly #25 + pinnedPM monthly #8
Sides with the consensus48% (10 of 21 open)63% (212 of 334 open)66% (104 of 157 open)67% (83 of 123 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=141, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=280, ROI +38%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • MLB +59 pts n=918, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 81% of 57)29% (won 11% of 423)10% (won 57% of 2538)7% (won 99% of 2623)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 201)16% (won 40% of 243)22% (won 94% of 5565)21% (won 100% of 7839)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 99% of 196)17% (won 62% of 255)36% (won 99% of 9017)22% (won 100% of 8452)
Entries 70¢ and up19% (won 100% of 109)38% (won 94% of 561)33% (won 100% of 8250)51% (won 100% of 19323)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

67 on the same side, 51 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpRN1UpTheBlues
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13KOver $1.5KUnder $21K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $1.4KOver $2.4KUnder $3.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $5Over $1.5KUnder $5.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6KOver $35Under $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.1KYes $7No $2.6K
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $42No $1.3KYes $36
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $720Under $20Over $5
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $262Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1Athletic Club $347
Boluspor leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $10Yes $162No $288
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $51Over $28Under $12
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
—Boluspor $751Boluspor $44Boluspor $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $101Under $1.1KUnder $931
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $645Under $56Under $44
Will KV Kortrijk win on 2026-10-23?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $315—No $26K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $382Under $7.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $3.1KNo $3.9K
Bologna FC 1909 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $4.5KUnder $753
West Ham United FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $4.2KUnder $721
Frosinone Calcio vs. Venezia FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $1.4KUnder $2.3K
Will Charlton Athletic FC win on 2026-09-09?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $676No $2.9K
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $3.1KOver $17—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $317No $2.5K—
Spread: CD Tenerife (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus FC Andorra
—FC Andorra $344—CD Tenerife $2.0K
FC København vs. AC Horsens: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $2.1KUnder $154
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7KAthletic Club $223
Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $3Under $1.9K
CA Rosario Central vs. CA Newell's Old Boys: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $535Under $1.3K
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $828Yes $419—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $420—Under $762
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $486No $529—
CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Vélez Sarsfield: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $742Yes $155
Will FK Zeleznicar Pancevo win on 2026-11-02?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $213No $677—
Oregon State vs. Houston: O/U 49.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $686Under $9
St Mirren FC vs. Celtic FC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $3No $689
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $495—Yes $192
Spread: Hawks (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hawks
—Wizards $237Hawks $408—
Moreirense FC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $509Under $76
Cali: Laura Samson vs Carole Monnet
opposite sides · consensus Laura Samson
—Laura Samson $554Carole Monnet $2—
Will Levante UD win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $23—Yes $273
Spread: Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club
——Al Ahli Saudi Club $8Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club $250
Hertha BSC vs. 1. FC Magdeburg: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $13Under $240
Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $148Under $98
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $90No $139
Will FCV Dender EH win on 2026-10-23?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $78—No $129
AZ vs. Willem II Tilburg: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $4Under $161
OGC Nice vs. Le Mans FC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $133No $20
Will Lyn 1896 FK win on 2026-09-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $3No $134
Will Central Espanol FC vs. Defensor Sporting end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $84Yes $40
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $111—Yes $3
Stevenage FC vs. Luton Town FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $76Under $36