Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpMadridTimesainttroplay
Record (consensus markets)46% (560–667, n=1227)53% (5928–5310, n=11238)51% (797–781, n=1578)no settled market
Consensus PnL$9.4M$3.3M-$13K—
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #17PM monthly #517—
Sides with the consensus59% (13 of 22 open)63% (145 of 230 open)45% (25 of 55 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • NBA +48 pts n=71, ROI +49%
  • Soccer +23 pts n=369, ROI +27%
  • Tennis +21 pts n=32, ROI +21%
not computed yet
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%100% of 501 at avg 72¢, ROI +30%—
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)29% (won 11% of 423)5% (won 100% of 26)—
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)16% (won 40% of 243)17% (won 100% of 85)—
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)17% (won 62% of 255)19% (won 100% of 94)—
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)38% (won 94% of 561)59% (won 100% of 296)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

25 on the same side, 17 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpMadridTimesainttroplay
Will AEK win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
No $651KNo $40KNo $32K—
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $56K—No $11K—
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus AEK
—AEK $28KReal Madrid CF $13—
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $14KNo $210—
Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Tomas Machac
opposite sides · consensus Arthur Fils
—Arthur Fils $5.6KTomas Machac $8.8K—
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $13KNo $5—
Will AC Milan win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $5.8KNo $47—
AEK vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $5.2KNo $428—
Spread: Liverpool FC (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Fenerbahçe SK
—Fenerbahçe SK $3.4KLiverpool FC $5—
Costa do Sauipe: Lautaro Midon vs Tomas Barrios
opposite sides · consensus Lautaro Midon
—Tomas Barrios $440Lautaro Midon $2.4K—
Cali: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Solana Sierra
opposite sides · consensus Leyre Romero Gormaz
—Solana Sierra $286Leyre Romero Gormaz $2.3K—
Costa do Sauipe: Gonzalo Bueno vs Eduardo Ribeiro
opposite sides · consensus Gonzalo Bueno
—Gonzalo Bueno $1.2KEduardo Ribeiro $646—
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $664Under $22—
W35 Orlando, FL: Brooke Black vs Annika Penickova
opposite sides · consensus Annika Penickova
—Annika Penickova $613Brooke Black $7—
Club Universitario de Deportes vs. Sport Boys Association: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $423Under $3—
W35 Orlando, FL: Merna Refaat vs Edda Mamedova
opposite sides · consensus Merna Refaat
—Edda Mamedova $54Merna Refaat $16—
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $13Under $27—
CD Anaitasuna vs. Deportivo Alavés: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $14No $7—
Cali: Despina Papamichail vs Renata Zarazua
same side · consensus Renata Zarazua
—Renata Zarazua $3.0KRenata Zarazua $16K—
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
—No $6.2KNo $3.0K—
AEK vs. Real Madrid CF: Real Madrid CF O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $7.5KUnder $336—
Spread: Celtics (-11.5)
same side · consensus Celtics
Celtics $7.1KCeltics $215——
Bratislava 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Mika Brunold
same side · consensus Nishesh Basavareddy
—Nishesh Basavareddy $4.7KNishesh Basavareddy $357—
AEK vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $3.3KUnder $2—
FC Porto vs. SSC Napoli: Draw at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $3.1KYes $5—
AEK vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $2.4KUnder $404—
AEK vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $2.5KUnder $11—
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
—No $2.0KNo $16—
Will Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $713Yes $539—
Deportivo La Guaira leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—No $608No $8—
Will AS FAR win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
—No $357No $46—
Exact Score: Botafogo FR 0 - 2 CA Mineiro?
same side · consensus No
—No $350No $15—
Spread: AEK (-1.5)
same side · consensus Real Madrid CF
—AEK $314AEK $18—
Exact Score: AEK 0 - 3 Real Madrid CF?
same side · consensus No
—No $287No $9—
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $262Over $18—
Will SD Eibar win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $272Yes $4—
Spread: CR Flamengo (-2.5)
same side · consensus CR Flamengo
—CR Flamengo $192CR Flamengo $12—
Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
—No $106No $82—
Utebo FC vs. CE Sabadell FC: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $100Over $4—
Will UD Logroñés win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $30No $58—
Reus FC Reddis vs. Barakaldo CF: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $43Over $8—
Will North East United FC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $10No $5—