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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpJamesBonder007RN1
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)53% (7602–6859, n=14461)99% (128–1, n=129)48% (18678–20261, n=38939)
Consensus PnL$7.6M$4.1M$37K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #11PM monthly #987PM monthly #31 + pinned
Sides with the consensus89% (32 of 36 open)65% (129 of 198 open)100% (9 of 9 open)64% (30 of 47 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15——
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%100% of 126 at avg 99¢, ROI 0%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 403)0%10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)16% (won 38% of 228)0%22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)15% (won 62% of 214)0%35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)40% (won 94% of 553)100% (won 100% of 126)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

20 on the same side, 16 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpJamesBonder007RN1
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Claire Liu vs Alexandra Eala
opposite sides · consensus Claire Liu
—Alexandra Eala $6.8K—Claire Liu $12K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Over $1.7K
Çaykur Rizespor vs. Erzurumspor FK: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $12K—Over $16
Luanda: Anna Blinkova vs Sofya Lansere
opposite sides · consensus Anna Blinkova
—Anna Blinkova $5.6K—Sofya Lansere $1.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.5K—Yes $1.9K
Will FC København win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $5.7K—No $336
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $613—Over $3.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $6
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $475—Under $1.3K
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $851—Yes $326
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $491—No $524
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $837—Yes $60
Will FK Pardubice win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $605—Yes $65
Will Çaykur Rizespor vs. Erzurumspor FK end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $441—Yes $2
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $272—No $11
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $28K—No $11K
Will Çorum FK win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $10K—No $7.3K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $2.5K
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $10K—No $4.8K
Will SSC Napoli vs. SS Lazio end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $4.9K—No $5.1K
SSC Napoli vs. SS Lazio: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $6.7K—Under $40
Will Çaykur Rizespor win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $3.7K—No $185
FC København vs. Brøndby IF: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $3.4K—Under $479
Will Erzurumspor FK win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $3.0K—No $66
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $2.4K—No $402
SSC Napoli vs. SS Lazio: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $2.7K—Under $28
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $95—Under $1.1K
SSC Napoli vs. SS Lazio: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $353—Under $453
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $721—Under $20
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $173—Yes $240
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $203—Under $41
Will SC Heerenveen win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $110—Yes $22
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $51—Over $29
Will FC København vs. Brøndby IF end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $51—Yes $7