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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
AndreasSchmFlaznorpMD14nigiri99
Record (consensus markets)100% (4–0, n=4)71% (2547–1041, n=3588)81% (22–5, n=27)54% (441–371, n=812)
Consensus PnL$5.8K$493K$328K$325K
Tracked asPM monthly #724PM monthly #12PM monthly #118PM monthly #148
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 14 open)43% (73 of 168 open)no open consensus position57% (101 of 178 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NBA +20 pts n=17, ROI +16%
Weakest topic—College Basketball −4 pts, n=174——
Settled positions, side won—44% of 1017 at avg 44¢, ROI −3%92% of 24 at avg 71¢, ROI +22%71% of 605 at avg 54¢, ROI +6%
Entries under 30¢—40% (won 5% of 409)4% (won 0% of 1)13% (won 40% of 81)
Entries 30–50¢—22% (won 41% of 222)13% (won 100% of 3)24% (won 62% of 144)
Entries 50–70¢—11% (won 64% of 115)21% (won 80% of 5)43% (won 74% of 261)
Entries 70¢ and up—27% (won 94% of 271)63% (won 100% of 15)20% (won 98% of 119)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

11 on the same side, 14 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketAndreasSchmFlaznorpMD14nigiri99
Spread: Nuggets (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nuggets
—Pelicans $6.2K—Nuggets $381
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $410——No $4.5K
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $90—Under $3.1K
Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nuggets
—Pelicans $1.9K—Nuggets $106
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
—Cavaliers $1.8K—Mavericks $143
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 229.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $16—Under $1.5K
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs
opposite sides · consensus Gen.G
—Bilibili Gaming $489—Gen.G $394
Ole Miss vs. Oklahoma
opposite sides · consensus Oklahoma
—Ole Miss $260—Oklahoma $507
Wild vs. Bruins: O/U 7.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $223—Under $477
Bulls vs. Timberwolves
opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves
—Bulls $94—Timberwolves $551
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
—Grizzlies $3—Nets $579
Colorado Buffaloes vs. Providence Friars
opposite sides · consensus Providence Friars
—Providence Friars $405—Colorado Buffaloes $159
Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nuggets
—Pelicans $293—Nuggets $254
Spread: Nuggets (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nuggets
—Pelicans $163—Nuggets $10
Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5)
same side · consensus Grizzlies
—Nets $1.3K—Nets $14K
Pistons vs. Heat
same side · consensus Pistons
—Heat $431—Heat $9.8K
Florida vs. Kentucky
same side · consensus Kentucky
—Florida $2.0K—Florida $4.6K
Spread: Timberwolves (-14.5)
same side · consensus Timberwolves
—Bulls $111—Bulls $844
Baylor vs. BYU
same side · consensus BYU
—Baylor $307—Baylor $544
South Carolina vs. Arkansas
same side · consensus Arkansas
—Arkansas $637—Arkansas $12
Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State
same side · consensus Oklahoma State
—Texas Tech $374—Texas Tech $177
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 224.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $398—Under $6
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 225.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $91—Under $66
Dota 2: 1win vs Froglings (BO3) - 1win Essence Group D
same side · consensus Froglings
—1win $10—1win $104
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
—Colts $49—Colts $3