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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
237492103894712349FlaznorpRN1
Record (consensus markets)62% (36–22, n=58)52% (6555–6124, n=12679)47% (14382–15903, n=30285)
Consensus PnL$32K$3.7M$14.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #940PM monthly #13PM monthly #28 + pinned
Sides with the consensus50% (1 of 2 open)71% (286 of 401 open)53% (42 of 79 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15—
Settled positions, side won82% of 34 at avg 70¢, ROI +14%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢9% (won 67% of 3)29% (won 11% of 403)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢18% (won 67% of 6)16% (won 38% of 228)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢12% (won 75% of 4)15% (won 62% of 214)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up62% (won 90% of 21)40% (won 94% of 553)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

34 on the same side, 25 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market237492103894712349FlaznorpRN1
BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Mika Brunold vs Borna Gojo
opposite sides · consensus Borna Gojo
—Mika Brunold $7.5KBorna Gojo $22K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13KOver $1.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.5KYes $1.9K
BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Olle Wallin vs Lorenzo Sonego
opposite sides · consensus Lorenzo Sonego
—Lorenzo Sonego $5.7KOlle Wallin $38
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $613Over $3.3K
Will SV Darmstadt 98 win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1KYes $252
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1KYes $6
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6KOver $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $475Under $1.3K
Exact Score: Leeds United FC 1 - 1 Tottenham Hotspur FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $204No $1.5K
Exact Score: Leeds United FC 1 - 2 Tottenham Hotspur FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.5KYes $216
1. FC Nürnberg vs. SV Darmstadt 98: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.2KOver $6
Korona Kielce vs. RKS Radomiak Radom: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $585Under $613
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $471No $524
Will Korona Kielce win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $54Yes $830
Will Holstein Kiel win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $364Yes $152
Spread: Leeds United FC (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Tottenham Hotspur FC
—Tottenham Hotspur FC $501Leeds United FC $1
BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Damir Dzumhur vs Inaki Montes
opposite sides · consensus Inaki Montes
—Damir Dzumhur $185Inaki Montes $169
Will Holstein Kiel vs. DSC Arminia Bielefeld end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $342Yes $2
Will Portsmouth FC vs. Stoke City FC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $271Yes $27
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $272No $11
Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Tottenham Hotspur FC O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $88Under $124
Will Bristol City FC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $161Yes $7
Exact Score: Leeds United FC 2 - 3 Tottenham Hotspur FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $96Yes $8
Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Leeds United FC
—Leeds United FC $39Tottenham Hotspur FC $46
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $51KNo $11K
Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $28KNo $11K
Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $31KUnder $5.6K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14KNo $2.6K
Cali: Alice Tubello vs Bianca Andreescu
same side · consensus Bianca Andreescu
—Bianca Andreescu $4.4KBianca Andreescu $8.3K
Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $5.0KUnder $1.8K
Will Rodez Aveyron Football win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $2.2KYes $4.5K
Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $6.1KUnder $333
Will FK Termez Surkhon win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $3.0KNo $2.8K
VfL Osnabrück vs. 1. FC Kaiserslautern: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.5KUnder $3.0K
Taranto: Felix Gill vs Matteo Martineau
same side · consensus Matteo Martineau
—Matteo Martineau $577Matteo Martineau $3.6K
Will Stoke City FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $2.5KNo $1.5K
1. FC Nürnberg vs. SV Darmstadt 98: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $3.5KOver $26
Exact Score: Leeds United FC 0 - 0 Tottenham Hotspur FC?
same side · consensus No
—No $491No $3.1K
Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
—No $2.8KNo $434
Will Persijap Jepara win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.5KNo $1.2K
Luanda: Sofya Lansere vs Noma Noha Akugue
same side · consensus Noma Noha Akugue
—Noma Noha Akugue $472Noma Noha Akugue $2.2K
VfL Osnabrück vs. 1. FC Kaiserslautern: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.8KUnder $270
Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.2KUnder $800
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K
Bristol City FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $1.8KUnder $8
Will FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $14No $1.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $95Under $1.1K
Portsmouth FC vs. Stoke City FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $973Under $3
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $702Under $20