← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x7Ca02326c99bdf7D6d246546Fb0f259296D47344-1779887467048 | HomeRunHazard | MD14 | nigiri99 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 52% (573–526, n=1099) | 84% (26–5, n=31) | 53% (510–448, n=958) |
| Consensus PnL | $0 | $388K | $341K | $681K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #982 | PM monthly #9 | PM monthly #125 | PM monthly #59 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 65% (51 of 79 open) | no open consensus position | 44% (31 of 71 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
|
|
|
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 100% of 270 at avg 53¢, ROI +48% | 90% of 29 at avg 72¢, ROI +20% | 74% of 676 at avg 54¢, ROI +8% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 2% (won 100% of 5) | 3% (won 0% of 1) | 12% (won 40% of 83) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 31% (won 100% of 84) | 10% (won 100% of 3) | 23% (won 65% of 158) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 60% (won 100% of 161) | 21% (won 83% of 6) | 44% (won 77% of 300) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 7% (won 100% of 20) | 66% (won 95% of 19) | 20% (won 99% of 135) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
14 on the same side, 11 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x7Ca02326c99bdf7D6d246546Fb0f259296D47344-1779887467048 | HomeRunHazard | MD14 | nigiri99 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pepperdine Waves vs. Oregon Ducks opposite sides · consensus Oregon Ducks | — | Oregon Ducks $8.0K | — | Pepperdine Waves $133K |
| Utah vs. Arizona opposite sides · consensus Arizona | — | Arizona $2.7K | — | Utah $21K |
| Patriots vs. Lions: O/U 50.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $12K | — | Under $3.1K |
| Spread: Packers (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Packers | — | Vikings $7.9K | — | Packers $2.4K |
| Spread: Packers (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Vikings | — | Vikings $5.9K | — | Packers $6 |
| Dolphins vs. Colts: O/U 38.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $4.4K | — | Under $1.1K |
| North Dakota State vs. Hawai'i: O/U 39.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $2.4K | — | Over $2.2K |
| Utah State vs. San Diego State: O/U 41.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $3.8K | — | Under $426 |
| North Texas vs. UTSA: O/U 75.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $4.1K | — | Over $91 |
| Spread: Wyoming (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus UTEP | — | UTEP $1.9K | — | Wyoming $679 |
| Spread: Lions (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Lions | — | Lions $33 | — | Patriots $59 |
| Flames vs. Kings same side · consensus Kings | — | Flames $6.0K | — | Flames $11K |
| Spread: Chiefs (-3.5) same side · consensus Falcons | — | Chiefs $2.5K | — | Chiefs $12K |
| Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State: O/U 73.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $12K | — | Over $677 |
| Spread: Lions (-2.5) same side · consensus Lions | — | Patriots $6.1K | — | Patriots $6.0K |
| Spread: Washington State (-8.5) same side · consensus Washington State | — | Colorado State $8.8K | — | Colorado State $1.2K |
| Wyoming vs. UTEP: O/U 41.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $138 | — | Over $6.3K |
| Utah vs. Arizona: O/U 55.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $4.2K | — | Over $1.7K |
| Spread: Texans (-3.5) same side · consensus Texans | — | Browns $2.4K | — | Browns $1.2K |
| Spread: Jaguars (-10.5) same side · consensus Titans | — | Jaguars $1.1K | — | Jaguars $1.3K |
| Dolphins vs. Colts same side · consensus Colts | — | Colts $1.1K | — | Colts $3 |
| Rockets vs. Wizards same side · consensus Rockets | — | Rockets $332 | — | Rockets $75 |
| Spread: North Dakota State (-8.5) same side · consensus Hawai'i | — | North Dakota State $130 | — | North Dakota State $154 |
| Spread: Utah State (-2.5) same side · consensus Utah State | — | Utah State $10 | — | Utah State $196 |
| Spread: North Dakota State (-6.5) same side · consensus North Dakota State | — | North Dakota State $10 | — | North Dakota State $179 |