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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorpUpTheBluesxxNyx
Record (consensus markets)58% (4536–3322, n=7858)52% (6455–6056, n=12511)50% (20651–20452, n=41103)85% (1304–235, n=1539)
Consensus PnL$7.8M$3.6M$3.1M$91K
Tracked asPM monthly #19PM monthly #11PM monthly #8Hand-picked
Sides with the consensus58% (14 of 24 open)72% (129 of 179 open)68% (30 of 44 open)92% (66 of 72 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=460, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2312, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1408, ROI +4%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • MLB +59 pts n=924, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=136Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—Tech −1 pts, n=56
Settled positions, side won59% of 7133 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%100% of 39731 at avg 67¢, ROI +36%81% of 1887 at avg 79¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1182)29% (won 11% of 465)7% (won 99% of 2699)13% (won 9% of 250)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1746)16% (won 40% of 255)20% (won 100% of 7974)5% (won 52% of 91)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2085)16% (won 62% of 260)22% (won 100% of 8588)6% (won 57% of 109)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2120)39% (won 94% of 637)52% (won 100% of 20470)76% (won 97% of 1437)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

17 on the same side, 16 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorpUpTheBluesxxNyx
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $5.8KNo $494No $15K—
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Antonia Ruzic vs Alexandra Eala
opposite sides · consensus Alexandra Eala
Antonia Ruzic $7.4KAlexandra Eala $28K——
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $11KUnder $238——
Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Tommy Paul
opposite sides · consensus Ben Shelton
Tommy Paul $27Ben Shelton $8.5K——
Will Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $292—Yes $3.7K
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $27——No $2.0K
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $45——Yes $1.9K
Will Boluspor win on 2026-10-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.2KYes $757—
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $56——No $1.5K
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $596Yes $154—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $702Over $5—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246Athletic Club $354—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $476Under $64—
Boluspor leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $139No $249—
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $115Athletic Club $215—
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $133Yes $2—
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $53K——Yes $2.0K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $13KUnder $21K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14KNo $3.0K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—No $4.4KNo $5.4K—
Chennai Open: Mai Hontama vs Magda Linette
same side · consensus Mai Hontama
Mai Hontama $724Mai Hontama $7.3K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
—No $3.1KNo $2.7K—
Will Wolfsberger AC win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
Yes $5.2KYes $40——
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $2.4K—No $2.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $2.6KUnder $1.5K—
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.6KNo $1.1K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $354Under $840—
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 3 Athletic Club?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $1.0KYes $153—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $337Under $755—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $1.1KOver $8—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $176Under $796—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $361Under $595—
Spread: SD Eibar (-2.5)
same side · consensus CD Pamplona
—CD Pamplona $129CD Pamplona $6—