← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | rayvanmechelen | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 57% (4474–3357, n=7831) | 46% (560–667, n=1227) | 53% (5928–5310, n=11238) | 87% (2315–349, n=2664) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.9M | $9.4M | $3.3M | $30K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #344 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #16 | was PM monthly #1000 |
| Sides with the consensus | 71% (15 of 21 open) | 63% (17 of 27 open) | 64% (169 of 265 open) | 52% (33 of 63 open) |
| Strongest topics | ||||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=134 | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 98% of 988 at avg 56¢, ROI +45% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1183) | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 29% (won 11% of 423) | 2% (won 95% of 22) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1724) | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 16% (won 40% of 243) | 32% (won 98% of 321) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2055) | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 17% (won 62% of 255) | 51% (won 98% of 507) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2092) | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 38% (won 94% of 561) | 14% (won 98% of 138) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
25 on the same side, 25 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | rayvanmechelen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hawks vs. Wizards opposite sides · consensus Hawks | Wizards $1.1K | Hawks $2.7K | — | Wizards $10 |
| 76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 217.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $194 | — | Under $105 | Over $82 |
| 76ers vs. Pistons same side · consensus Pistons | Pistons $41K | Pistons $204K | Pistons $2.8K | — |
| Jazz vs. Pelicans opposite sides · consensus Pelicans | — | Jazz $70K | Pelicans $36 | — |
| Spread: Pelicans (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | — | Jazz $19K | — | Pelicans $2 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $13K | Over $169 |
| Bratislava 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Mika Brunold opposite sides · consensus Nishesh Basavareddy | — | — | Nishesh Basavareddy $4.7K | Mika Brunold $10 |
| Will Cerro Porteno win on 2026-11-08? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $3.7K | No $12 |
| Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-11-04? opposite sides · consensus No | No $2.3K | — | Yes $986 | — |
| Will Sportivo Ameliano win on 2026-11-08? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $2.5K | Yes $412 |
| Bucks vs. Celtics opposite sides · consensus Celtics | — | — | Celtics $2.3K | Bucks $1 |
| Cali: Jazmin Ortenzi vs Bianca Andreescu opposite sides · consensus Bianca Andreescu | — | — | Bianca Andreescu $1.4K | Jazmin Ortenzi $2 |
| Spread: Pistons (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus 76ers | Pistons $1.2K | — | 76ers $46 | — |
| Will Club Olimpia win on 2026-11-08? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $977 | No $8 |
| Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan opposite sides · consensus Eastern Michigan | Central Michigan $620 | — | Eastern Michigan $333 | — |
| Costa do Sauipe: Gustavo Heide vs Juan Carlos Prado opposite sides · consensus Juan Carlos Prado | — | — | Juan Carlos Prado $752 | Gustavo Heide $10 |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $317 | No $390 |
| Spread: Celtics (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Celtics | Celtics $436 | — | Bucks $249 | — |
| Spread: Lakers (-11.5) opposite sides · consensus Kings | — | — | Lakers $595 | Kings $9 |
| Costa do Sauipe: Igor Ribeiro Marcondes vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli opposite sides · consensus Camilo Ugo Carabelli | — | — | Camilo Ugo Carabelli $589 | Igor Ribeiro Marcondes $3 |
| 76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 219.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $365 | — | Under $177 | — |
| Tlaxcala FC vs. Club Atletico La Paz: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $466 | Over $8 |
| Bucks vs. Celtics: O/U 223.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $459 | Under $10 |
| Will Venados FC win on 2026-11-04? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $346 | No $6 |
| Utebo FC vs. CE Sabadell FC: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $100 | Under $3 |
| Hornets vs. Nets opposite sides · consensus Nets | Nets $43 | — | Hornets $5 | — |
| Spread: Pelicans (-4.5) same side · consensus Jazz | — | Jazz $31K | Jazz $4 | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-11.5) same side · consensus Celtics | — | Celtics $8.7K | Celtics $215 | — |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Tomas Machac same side · consensus Arthur Fils | Arthur Fils $2.4K | — | Arthur Fils $5.6K | — |
| Spread: Nuggets (-4.5) same side · consensus Raptors | Raptors $6.7K | — | Raptors $383 | — |
| Will Metropolitanos FC win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $4.8K | No $9 |
| Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $3.9K | No $922 |
| Spread: Pistons (-3.5) same side · consensus Pistons | — | Pistons $954 | Pistons $1.3K | — |
| Will Venezia FC win on 2026-11-06? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $983 | No $1.0K |
| FC Famalicão vs. FC Arouca: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Over $1.5K | Over $9 |
| Costa do Sauipe: Gonzalo Bueno vs Eduardo Ribeiro same side · consensus Gonzalo Bueno | — | — | Gonzalo Bueno $1.2K | Gonzalo Bueno $10 |
| Will Al Faisaly Saudi Club vs. Al Diraiyah Saudi Club end in a draw? same side · consensus Yes | — | — | No $1.1K | No $1 |
| Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $865 | No $10 |
| Spread: Sydney FC (-1.5) same side · consensus Sydney FC | — | — | Sydney FC $670 | Sydney FC $10 |
| Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Over $519 | Over $10 |
| Will SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden vs. PSV end in a draw? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $468 | No $10 |
| Spread: Thunder (-2.5) same side · consensus Thunder | — | — | Cavaliers $304 | Cavaliers $8 |
| FC Dordrecht vs. NAC Breda: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Over $296 | Over $3 |
| Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $248 | — | Under $40 | — |
| Spread: Hawks (-3.5) same side · consensus Hawks | — | Hawks $66 | Hawks $193 | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5) same side · consensus Pacers | — | — | Pacers $215 | Pacers $10 |
| Maccabi Tel Aviv FC vs. Maccabi Petah Tikva FC: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $197 | Under $7 |
| Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 227.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Under $123 | Under $10 |
| Queens (NC) Royals vs. Loyola Marymount Lions same side · consensus Loyola Marymount Lions | — | — | Queens (NC) Royals $22 | Queens (NC) Royals $8 |
| Will Barakaldo CF win on 2026-10-28? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $24 | No $4 |