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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
keeptheblueflagflyinghighllllllllloooonigiri99robloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18
Record (consensus markets)46% (387–447, n=834)47% (7–8, n=15)54% (312–261, n=573)57% (37–28, n=65)
Consensus PnL$509K-$5.0K$425K$440K
Tracked asPM monthly #19PM monthly #247PM monthly #135PM monthly #33 + pinned
Sides with the consensus49% (26 of 53 open)100% (2 of 2 open)51% (55 of 108 open)57% (4 of 7 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +45 pts n=29, ROI +40%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 280 at avg 51¢, ROI +44%69% of 13 at avg 52¢, ROI +6%65% of 504 at avg 53¢, ROI +5%100% of 37 at avg 58¢, ROI +36%
Entries under 30¢6% (won 100% of 17)8% (won 0% of 1)14% (won 32% of 72)3% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢38% (won 100% of 105)15% (won 50% of 2)24% (won 55% of 121)32% (won 100% of 12)
Entries 50–70¢49% (won 100% of 137)69% (won 78% of 9)44% (won 69% of 222)43% (won 100% of 16)
Entries 70¢ and up8% (won 100% of 21)8% (won 100% of 1)18% (won 98% of 89)22% (won 100% of 8)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

10 on the same side, 12 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketkeeptheblueflagflyinghighllllllllloooonigiri99robloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs
opposite sides · consensus Gen.G
—Gen.G $72Bilibili Gaming $1.1KGen.G $94K
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Knicks
Pacers $20K—Knicks $486—
Spread: Hawks (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hawks
Bulls $13K—Hawks $3.0K—
Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pelicans
Pelicans $7.6K—Grizzlies $5.4K—
Slovenia vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $10K—Over $674—
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Greece
Greece $9.1K—Netherlands $17—
Grizzlies vs. Pelicans: O/U 235.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $367—Under $5.0K—
Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pelicans
Pelicans $3.4K—Grizzlies $946—
Knicks vs. Pacers: O/U 219.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.6K—Over $585—
Serbia vs. Germany: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $1.2K—Under $482—
Spread: Houston (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Houston
Colorado $1.2K—Houston $75—
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
Knicks $397—Pacers $21—
Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns vs. UNCW Seahawks
same side · consensus Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns
——Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns $337KLouisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns $211K
Bucks vs. Magic: O/U 224.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $13K—Under $403—
Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 222.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $11K—Over $151—
Rangers vs. Canucks
same side · consensus Rangers
Canucks $11K—Canucks $508—
Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 220.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $5.4K—Over $1.9K—
Netherlands vs. Greece: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $5.6K—Over $226—
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $4.8K—Over $308—
Scotland vs. North Macedonia: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $4.1K—Over $28—
Slovenia vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $3.6K—Over $520—
Bulgaria vs. Iceland: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $1.1K—Under $58—