Known as llllllllloooo since Nov 13 2026 · Previously known as: KateBollinger (Nov 9 – Nov 13 2026)
Consensus PnL -$5.0K · win rate 47% (7–8, n=15) · PM monthly #246 · holds 2 consensus positions
Consensus PnL
$-5.0K
Record
7W / 8L
Win Rate
47.0%
of 15 settled
Batting Avg
68.9%
Status
Unprofitable
Win-rate rank
#985
Source
PM monthly #246
Record (90 d)
7/15 · 47%
Trades
1,128
Markets
20
Volume
$386.0K
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Top consensus positions
2 in listed consensus markets · 2 of 2 on the consensus side (100%)- Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026?Yes $8.8K · now 38¢ · in at 22¢with the consensus (52% of 27)
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G (BO5) - Worlds PlayoffsGen.G $71 · now 63¢ · in at 62¢with the consensus (65% of 26)
Specialties
13 settled consensus markets · held side won 69% at an average entry of 52¢- Esports
+19 pts
side won 73% of 11 · avg entry 54¢
ROI +6%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 8%(won 0% of 1)
- 30–50¢: 15%(won 50% of 2)
- 50–70¢: 69%(won 78% of 9)
- 70¢ and up: 8%(won 100% of 1)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.