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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| guilttrip | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | nigiri99 | Thunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 86% (6–1, n=7) | 46% (387–447, n=834) | 54% (312–261, n=573) | 50% (7–7, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | $13K | $509K | $425K | $656K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #751 | PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #135 | was PM monthly #70 |
| Sides with the consensus | 28% (26 of 94 open) | 50% (27 of 54 open) | 50% (55 of 111 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
|
| none with 10+ settled |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 71% of 7 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 100% of 280 at avg 51¢, ROI +44% | 65% of 504 at avg 53¢, ROI +5% | 86% of 7 at avg 44¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 29% (won 0% of 2) | 6% (won 100% of 17) | 14% (won 32% of 72) | 14% (won 0% of 1) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 0% | 38% (won 100% of 105) | 24% (won 55% of 121) | 57% (won 100% of 4) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 57% (won 100% of 4) | 49% (won 100% of 137) | 44% (won 69% of 222) | 29% (won 100% of 2) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 14% (won 100% of 1) | 8% (won 100% of 21) | 18% (won 98% of 89) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
9 on the same side, 14 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | guilttrip | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | nigiri99 | Thunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Knicks (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Knicks | — | Pacers $20K | Knicks $486 | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Pelicans | — | Pelicans $7.4K | Grizzlies $10K | — |
| Spread: Hawks (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Hawks | — | Bulls $13K | Hawks $3.0K | — |
| Bucks vs. Magic: O/U 224.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $13K | Over $1.3K | — |
| Slovenia vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $10K | Over $674 | — |
| Spread: Netherlands (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Greece | — | Greece $10K | Netherlands $17 | — |
| Grizzlies vs. Pelicans: O/U 235.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $367 | Under $5.0K | — |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $2 | — | No $4.7K | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Pelicans | — | Pelicans $3.4K | Grizzlies $966 | — |
| Knicks vs. Pacers: O/U 219.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $1.6K | Over $585 | — |
| Serbia vs. Germany: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $1.2K | Under $482 | — |
| Spread: Houston (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Houston | — | Colorado $1.2K | Houston $75 | — |
| Spread: Knicks (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Pacers | — | Knicks $397 | Pacers $21 | — |
| Will Kuwait vs. Syria end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $1 | No $177 | — | — |
| Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 222.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $11K | Over $151 | — |
| Rangers vs. Canucks same side · consensus Rangers | — | Canucks $11K | Canucks $508 | — |
| Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 220.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $5.4K | Over $1.9K | — |
| Netherlands vs. Greece: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $5.6K | Over $285 | — |
| Spread: Spurs (-11.5) same side · consensus Spurs | — | Spurs $468 | Spurs $4.7K | — |
| Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 228.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $4.8K | Over $308 | — |
| Scotland vs. North Macedonia: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $4.1K | Over $28 | — |
| Slovenia vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $3.6K | Over $520 | — |
| Bulgaria vs. Iceland: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $1.1K | Under $58 | — |