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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| googleplay | haveanedgeDOTxyz | HomeRunHazard | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 50% (6–6, n=12) | no settled market | 54% (412–350, n=762) | 48% (473–506, n=979) |
| Consensus PnL | $423K | $0 | $358K | $437K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #33 | PM monthly #843 | PM monthly #8 | PM monthly #21 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | no open consensus position | 68% (90 of 133 open) | 51% (34 of 67 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled | not computed yet |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 6 at avg 51¢, ROI +49% | — | 100% of 194 at avg 53¢, ROI +47% | 100% of 301 at avg 51¢, ROI +44% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | — | 1% (won 100% of 2) | 6% (won 100% of 19) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 17% (won 100% of 1) | — | 32% (won 100% of 62) | 37% (won 100% of 110) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 83% (won 100% of 5) | — | 59% (won 100% of 115) | 50% (won 100% of 150) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 0% | — | 8% (won 100% of 15) | 7% (won 100% of 22) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
14 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | googleplay | haveanedgeDOTxyz | HomeRunHazard | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus Kings | — | — | Kings $379 | Trail Blazers $27K |
| Spread: UCLA (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus UCLA | — | — | Illinois $346 | UCLA $24K |
| Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 222.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $13K | Over $7.8K |
| Predators vs. Golden Knights opposite sides · consensus Golden Knights | — | — | Predators $2.1K | Golden Knights $16K |
| Spread: Thunder (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Clippers | — | — | Thunder $8.7K | Clippers $2.3K |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers | — | — | Trail Blazers $558 | Kings $5.5K |
| Illinois vs. UCLA: O/U 47.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $810 | Under $847 |
| Spread: Houston (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus Houston | — | — | Colorado $786 | Houston $23 |
| Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 230.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $558 | Under $197 |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers | — | — | Kings $61 | Trail Blazers $281 |
| Spread: Thunder (-5.5) same side · consensus Clippers | — | — | Thunder $5.5K | Thunder $6.6K |
| Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 223.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $11K | Under $7 |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-13.5) same side · consensus Trail Blazers | — | — | Trail Blazers $100 | Trail Blazers $10K |
| Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 228.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Over $99 | Over $6.7K |
| Spread: Thunder (-7.5) same side · consensus Clippers | — | — | Clippers $2.6K | Clippers $3.5K |
| Spread: Houston (-7.5) same side · consensus Houston | — | — | Colorado $840 | Colorado $3.2K |
| Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 229.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Over $3.9K | Over $29 |
| Spread: UCLA (-7.5) same side · consensus Illinois | — | — | UCLA $446 | UCLA $3.2K |
| Spread: Houston (-6.5) same side · consensus Houston | — | — | Colorado $2.8K | Colorado $700 |
| Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 219.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $2.1K | Under $1 |
| Spread: Thunder (-8.5) same side · consensus Clippers | — | — | Clippers $59 | Clippers $568 |
| Spread: Thunder (-4.5) same side · consensus Clippers | — | — | Clippers $315 | Clippers $245 |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-12.5) same side · consensus Trail Blazers | — | — | Kings $33 | Kings $13 |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-11.5) same side · consensus Trail Blazers | — | — | Kings $2 | Kings $3 |