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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
fantasy7788HomeRunHazardjuice-fruitsuntori
Record (consensus markets)56% (5–4, n=9)54% (233–198, n=431)100% (1–0, n=1)58% (501–362, n=863)
Consensus PnL$421K$261K$152K-$38K
Tracked asPM monthly #42PM monthly #7PM monthly #31was PM monthly #792
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 2 open)69% (68 of 98 open)no open consensus position46% (99 of 216 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settlednone with 10+ settlednot computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 5 at avg 50¢, ROI +54%100% of 97 at avg 54¢, ROI +46%100% of 1 at avg 41¢, ROI +59%—
Entries under 30¢20% (won 100% of 1)1% (won 100% of 1)0%—
Entries 30–50¢20% (won 100% of 1)32% (won 100% of 31)100% (won 100% of 1)—
Entries 50–70¢60% (won 100% of 3)57% (won 100% of 55)0%—
Entries 70¢ and up0%10% (won 100% of 10)0%—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

13 on the same side, 12 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketfantasy7788HomeRunHazardjuice-fruitsuntori
Thunder vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 224.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $7.2K—Under $24
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group A
opposite sides · consensus Vitality
FURIA $5.3K——Vitality $1.5K
Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
—Thunder $4.4K—Trail Blazers $66
Thunder vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 226.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $2.5K—Under $5
Predators vs. Ducks
opposite sides · consensus Ducks
—Ducks $2.1K—Predators $14
Penguins vs. Sharks
opposite sides · consensus Penguins
—Sharks $2.0K—Penguins $3
Spread: Rockets (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rockets
—Warriors $90—Rockets $773
Warriors vs. Rockets: O/U 223.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $454—Over $8
Warriors vs. Rockets: O/U 224.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $37—Over $79
Warriors vs. Rockets: O/U 216.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $63—Over $24
Spread: Trail Blazers (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
—Thunder $9—Trail Blazers $10
Thunder vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 222.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2—Over $6
Spread: Rockets (-6.5)
same side · consensus Warriors
—Rockets $30K—Rockets $3
Warriors vs. Rockets
same side · consensus Rockets
—Rockets $19K—Rockets $3.9K
Utah vs. Golden Knights
same side · consensus Golden Knights
—Golden Knights $14K—Golden Knights $16
Commanders vs. Giants: O/U 42.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $7.3K—Under $54
Spread: Trail Blazers (-2.5)
same side · consensus Thunder
—Thunder $5.2K—Thunder $7
Warriors vs. Rockets: O/U 220.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $4.6K—Over $196
Warriors vs. Rockets: O/U 219.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $2.2K—Over $15
Pistons vs. Wizards
same side · consensus Pistons
—Pistons $1.1K—Pistons $59
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner
same side · consensus Vitality
FURIA $304——FURIA $671
Thunder vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 225.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $905—Over $24
Spread: Trail Blazers (-5.5)
same side · consensus Trail Blazers
—Thunder $114—Thunder $22
Pacific Tigers vs. Long Beach State Beach
same side · consensus Pacific Tigers
—Long Beach State Beach $38—Long Beach State Beach $50
Mavericks vs. Timberwolves
same side · consensus Mavericks
—Timberwolves $66—Timberwolves $7