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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| HomeRunHazard | iammillionaire | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 54% (448–384, n=832) | no settled market | 48% (503–542, n=1045) |
| Consensus PnL | $332K | — | $528K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #9 | PM monthly #714 | PM monthly #19 |
| Sides with the consensus | 67% (121 of 181 open) | no open consensus position | 64% (34 of 53 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| not computed yet |
|
| Weakest topic | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 212 at avg 53¢, ROI +47% | — | 100% of 329 at avg 51¢, ROI +45% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 1% (won 100% of 2) | — | 6% (won 100% of 19) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 32% (won 100% of 68) | — | 36% (won 100% of 120) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 60% (won 100% of 127) | — | 50% (won 100% of 166) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 7% (won 100% of 15) | — | 7% (won 100% of 24) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
10 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | HomeRunHazard | iammillionaire | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kraken vs. Hurricanes opposite sides · consensus Hurricanes | Kraken $41 | — | Hurricanes $34K |
| Tennessee vs. Texas A&M opposite sides · consensus Tennessee | Texas A&M $250 | — | Tennessee $25K |
| Syracuse vs. NC State: O/U 53.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $3.4K | — | Under $14K |
| Spread: Indiana (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Indiana | Indiana $2.4K | — | USC $14K |
| Spread: Liberty (-20.5) opposite sides · consensus Liberty | Liberty $2.6K | — | Middle Tennessee $6.3K |
| Syracuse vs. NC State opposite sides · consensus Syracuse | NC State $2.1K | — | Syracuse $4.7K |
| Nebraska vs. Rutgers: O/U 51.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $2.5K | — | Over $3.3K |
| Spread: Gonzaga Bulldogs (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Gonzaga Bulldogs | LSU Tigers $1.5K | — | Gonzaga Bulldogs $2.4K |
| Texas vs. LSU opposite sides · consensus LSU | LSU $209 | — | Texas $1.7K |
| Spread: Kentucky (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Florida | Florida $18 | — | Kentucky $1.2K |
| Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State: O/U 73.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $4.5K | — | Over $13K |
| Spread: Lightning (-1.5) same side · consensus Red Wings | Lightning $783 | — | Lightning $10K |
| Spread: New Mexico (-16.5) same side · consensus New Mexico | New Mexico $691 | — | New Mexico $6.3K |
| Spread: James Madison (-5.5) same side · consensus UConn | UConn $2.5K | — | UConn $628 |
| Spread: Nevada (-5.5) same side · consensus Nevada | Nevada $100 | — | Nevada $1.6K |
| Spread: Pistons (-4.5) same side · consensus Pistons | Pistons $199 | — | Pistons $1.3K |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5) same side · consensus Cavaliers | Mavericks $3 | — | Mavericks $1.2K |
| Wild vs. Bruins same side · consensus Bruins | Bruins $574 | — | Bruins $400 |
| Spread: Virginia Tech (-14.5) same side · consensus Virginia Tech | Virginia Tech $2 | — | Virginia Tech $373 |
| Duke vs. Miami (FL) same side · consensus Miami (FL) | Miami (FL) $49 | — | Miami (FL) $144 |