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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
fantasy7788HomeRunHazardiammillionairekeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Record (consensus markets)59% (16–11, n=27)54% (448–384, n=832)no settled market48% (503–542, n=1045)
Consensus PnL$670K$332K—$528K
Tracked asPM monthly #36PM monthly #9PM monthly #714PM monthly #19
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position64% (121 of 189 open)no open consensus position57% (29 of 51 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 14 at avg 48¢, ROI +54%100% of 212 at avg 53¢, ROI +47%—100% of 329 at avg 51¢, ROI +45%
Entries under 30¢7% (won 100% of 1)1% (won 100% of 2)—6% (won 100% of 19)
Entries 30–50¢50% (won 100% of 7)32% (won 100% of 68)—36% (won 100% of 120)
Entries 50–70¢36% (won 100% of 5)60% (won 100% of 127)—50% (won 100% of 166)
Entries 70¢ and up7% (won 100% of 1)7% (won 100% of 15)—7% (won 100% of 24)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

11 on the same side, 11 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketfantasy7788HomeRunHazardiammillionairekeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Kraken vs. Hurricanes
opposite sides · consensus Hurricanes
—Kraken $41—Hurricanes $34K
Tennessee vs. Texas A&M
opposite sides · consensus Tennessee
—Texas A&M $250—Tennessee $25K
Syracuse vs. NC State: O/U 53.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $9.3K—Under $14K
Spread: Indiana (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Indiana
—Indiana $2.4K—USC $14K
Spread: Ohio State (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ohio State
—Ohio State $438—Northwestern $15K
Spread: Liberty (-20.5)
opposite sides · consensus Liberty
—Liberty $2.6K—Middle Tennessee $6.3K
Syracuse vs. NC State
opposite sides · consensus Syracuse
—NC State $2.1K—Syracuse $4.7K
Nebraska vs. Rutgers: O/U 51.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.5K—Over $3.3K
Spread: Gonzaga Bulldogs (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Gonzaga Bulldogs
—LSU Tigers $1.5K—Gonzaga Bulldogs $2.4K
Texas vs. LSU
opposite sides · consensus LSU
—LSU $209—Texas $1.7K
Spread: Kentucky (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Florida
—Florida $18—Kentucky $1.2K
Kansas vs. West Virginia
same side · consensus West Virginia
—Kansas $6.4K—Kansas $21K
Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State: O/U 73.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $4.5K—Over $13K
Spread: Lightning (-1.5)
same side · consensus Red Wings
—Lightning $783—Lightning $10K
Spread: New Mexico (-16.5)
same side · consensus New Mexico
—New Mexico $691—New Mexico $6.3K
Spread: James Madison (-5.5)
same side · consensus UConn
—UConn $2.5K—UConn $628
Spread: Nevada (-5.5)
same side · consensus Nevada
—Nevada $100—Nevada $1.6K
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)
same side · consensus Pistons
—Pistons $199—Pistons $1.3K
Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)
same side · consensus Cavaliers
—Mavericks $3—Mavericks $1.2K
Wild vs. Bruins
same side · consensus Bruins
—Bruins $574—Bruins $400
Spread: Virginia Tech (-14.5)
same side · consensus Virginia Tech
—Virginia Tech $2—Virginia Tech $373
Duke vs. Miami (FL)
same side · consensus Miami (FL)
—Miami (FL) $49—Miami (FL) $144