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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Flaznorp | nigiri99 | paintscrel | Thunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 71% (2531–1028, n=3559) | 55% (433–356, n=789) | 0% (0–3, n=3) | 58% (11–8, n=19) |
| Consensus PnL | $501K | $365K | -$4.6K | $782K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #13 | PM monthly #137 | was PM monthly #954 | was PM monthly #70 |
| Sides with the consensus | 48% (84 of 175 open) | 58% (105 of 182 open) | 50% (1 of 2 open) | 67% (2 of 3 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| not computed yet |
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| Weakest topic | College Basketball −4 pts, n=174 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 44% of 1017 at avg 44¢, ROI −3% | 71% of 605 at avg 54¢, ROI +6% | — | 92% of 12 at avg 46¢, ROI +49% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 40% (won 5% of 409) | 13% (won 40% of 81) | — | 8% (won 0% of 1) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 22% (won 41% of 222) | 24% (won 62% of 144) | — | 58% (won 100% of 7) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 11% (won 64% of 115) | 43% (won 74% of 261) | — | 33% (won 100% of 4) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 27% (won 94% of 271) | 20% (won 98% of 119) | — | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
8 on the same side, 12 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Flaznorp | nigiri99 | paintscrel | Thunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner opposite sides · consensus Bilibili Gaming | — | — | Gen.G $3 | Bilibili Gaming $91K |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Nets | Grizzlies $310 | Nets $21K | — | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Nets | Grizzlies $1.5K | Nets $18K | — | — |
| Will United States win on 2026-11-14? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $32 | Yes $7.3K | — | — |
| Haiti vs. United States: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $2 | Over $4.5K | — | — |
| Spread: Nuggets (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Nuggets | Pelicans $1.9K | Nuggets $105 | — | — |
| Mavericks vs. Cavaliers opposite sides · consensus Mavericks | Cavaliers $1.7K | Mavericks $145 | — | — |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 229.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $16 | Under $1.4K | — | — |
| Ole Miss vs. Oklahoma opposite sides · consensus Oklahoma | Ole Miss $260 | Oklahoma $507 | — | — |
| Bulls vs. Timberwolves opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves | Bulls $94 | Timberwolves $545 | — | — |
| Colorado Buffaloes vs. Providence Friars opposite sides · consensus Colorado Buffaloes | Providence Friars $136 | Colorado Buffaloes $492 | — | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Nets | Grizzlies $2 | Nets $579 | — | — |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner same side · consensus Gen.G | — | — | Gen.G $4.1K | Gen.G $390K |
| Florida vs. Kentucky same side · consensus Kentucky | Florida $3.1K | Florida $7.2K | — | — |
| Pistons vs. Heat same side · consensus Heat | Heat $431 | Heat $9.8K | — | — |
| South Carolina vs. Arkansas same side · consensus Arkansas | Arkansas $637 | Arkansas $12 | — | — |
| Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State same side · consensus Oklahoma State | Texas Tech $374 | Texas Tech $177 | — | — |
| Dota 2: 1win vs Froglings (BO3) - 1win Essence Group D same side · consensus Froglings | 1win $10 | 1win $107 | — | — |
| Dolphins vs. Colts same side · consensus Colts | Colts $49 | Colts $3 | — | — |
| Will Haiti win on 2026-11-14? same side · consensus No | Yes $3 | Yes $34 | — | — |