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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpndb1RN1testest10
Record (consensus markets)52% (6603–6153, n=12756)63% (1014–591, n=1605)47% (14701–16266, n=30967)39% (7–11, n=18)
Consensus PnL$3.7M$4.8M$14.8M$17K
Tracked asPM monthly #13PM monthly #98PM monthly #28 + pinnedPM monthly #416
Sides with the consensus75% (311 of 413 open)72% (63 of 87 open)58% (65 of 112 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicOther Sports −28 pts, n=15NFL −8 pts, n=147——
Settled positions, side won56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 8 at avg 67¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 403)13% (won 14% of 187)10% (won 57% of 2594)0%
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 38% of 228)19% (won 39% of 269)22% (won 94% of 5704)25% (won 100% of 2)
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 62% of 214)23% (won 57% of 328)35% (won 99% of 9204)13% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 94% of 553)44% (won 94% of 622)33% (won 100% of 8622)63% (won 100% of 5)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

50 on the same side, 39 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpndb1RN1testest10
Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $37KUnder $34KUnder $5.2K—
Will DSC Arminia Bielefeld win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $21K—No $4.6K—
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $15K—No $8.0K—
Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Leeds United FC
Leeds United FC $22K—Tottenham Hotspur FC $45—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K—Over $1.7K—
Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $12K—Yes $203—
BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Olle Wallin vs Lorenzo Sonego
opposite sides · consensus Lorenzo Sonego
Lorenzo Sonego $8.4K—Olle Wallin $26—
Holstein Kiel vs. DSC Arminia Bielefeld: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $4.2K—Over $2.2K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.5K—Yes $1.9K—
Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $3.6K—Over $2.1K—
Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Tottenham Hotspur FC O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $5.4K—Under $84—
Will SV Darmstadt 98 win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.7K—Yes $288—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $613—Over $3.3K—
Exact Score: Leeds United FC 0 - 0 Tottenham Hotspur FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $26—No $3.4K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K—Yes $6—
Will Port FC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $2.7K—No $1—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K—Over $36—
Will Holstein Kiel vs. DSC Arminia Bielefeld end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $2.2K—Yes $183—
Samsunspor vs. Konyaspor: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.3K—Over $18—
Burgos CF vs. Celta Fortuna: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.4K—Over $2—
Will Garuda Yaksa win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $2.2K—No $10—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $475—Under $1.3K—
Portsmouth FC vs. Stoke City FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $898—Over $533—
Portsmouth FC vs. Stoke City FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.3K—Over $63—
Wrexham AFC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $1.2K—Under $30—
1. FC Nürnberg vs. SV Darmstadt 98: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.2K—Over $6—
Holstein Kiel vs. DSC Arminia Bielefeld: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $1.0K—Over $159—
Bristol City FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $1.0K—Under $19—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $471—No $524—
BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Damir Dzumhur vs Inaki Montes
opposite sides · consensus Damir Dzumhur
Damir Dzumhur $171—Inaki Montes $624—
Spread: Leeds United FC (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Tottenham Hotspur FC
Tottenham Hotspur FC $672—Leeds United FC $4—
Exact Score: 1. FC Nürnberg 0 - 1 SV Darmstadt 98?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $526—Yes $7—
Exact Score: Leeds United FC 0 - 1 Tottenham Hotspur FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $487—Yes $15—
Will VfL Osnabrück vs. 1. FC Kaiserslautern end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $383—No $6—
Samsunspor vs. Konyaspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $35—Under $250—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $272—No $11—
FK Zemun vs. FK IMT Novi Beograd: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $71—Under $132—
Exact Score: Leeds United FC 0 - 3 Tottenham Hotspur FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $152—Yes $29—
Exact Score: Leeds United FC 2 - 3 Tottenham Hotspur FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $109—Yes $6—
Exact Score: Leeds United FC 1 - 3 Tottenham Hotspur FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $20—Yes $50—
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $92K—No $27K—
Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $28K—No $11K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K—No $2.6K—
Luanda: Sofya Lansere vs Noma Noha Akugue
same side · consensus Noma Noha Akugue
Noma Noha Akugue $1.3K—Noma Noha Akugue $14K—
Cali: Alice Tubello vs Bianca Andreescu
same side · consensus Bianca Andreescu
Bianca Andreescu $4.4K—Bianca Andreescu $8.4K—
Will 1. FC Nürnberg win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $6.4K—Yes $3.2K—
Exact Score: Leeds United FC 3 - 3 Tottenham Hotspur FC?
same side · consensus No
No $6.3K—No $3.1K—
SC Paderborn 07 vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $3.8K—Under $5.6K—
Spread: DSC Arminia Bielefeld (-1.5)
same side · consensus Holstein Kiel
Holstein Kiel $8.3K—Holstein Kiel $988—
VfL Osnabrück vs. 1. FC Kaiserslautern: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $3.4K—Over $4.1K—