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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Flaznorp | laidaodao | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 53% (7602–6859, n=14461) | 65% (30–16, n=46) | 64% (1097–630, n=1727) | 48% (18678–20261, n=38939) |
| Consensus PnL | $4.1M | $1.9K | $4.8M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #10 | PM monthly #134 | PM monthly #98 | PM monthly #33 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 68% (129 of 190 open) | 100% (8 of 8 open) | 73% (111 of 153 open) | 60% (38 of 63 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Other Sports −28 pts, n=15 | Geopolitics −8 pts, n=15 | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 74% of 38 at avg 70¢, ROI −1% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 29% (won 11% of 403) | 21% (won 0% of 8) | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 38% of 228) | 5% (won 100% of 2) | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 15% (won 62% of 214) | 5% (won 100% of 2) | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 40% (won 94% of 553) | 68% (won 92% of 26) | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
23 on the same side, 16 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Flaznorp | laidaodao | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Palace FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $13K | — | No $7.4K | No $10 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $13K | — | — | Over $1.7K |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz opposite sides · consensus Carlos Alcaraz | Ben Shelton $3.0K | — | — | Carlos Alcaraz $3.8K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | No $4.5K | — | — | Yes $1.9K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $613 | — | — | Over $3.3K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | No $3.1K | — | — | Yes $6 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $2.6K | — | — | Over $36 |
| Elche CF vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $2.4K | — | — | Under $152 |
| Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Lille OSC: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $1.8K | — | — | Over $765 |
| Genoa CFC vs. AC Milan: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $2.5K | — | — | Over $63 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $475 | — | — | Under $1.3K |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus No | No $851 | — | — | Yes $326 |
| Crystal Palace FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $921 | — | — | Over $119 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $491 | — | — | No $524 |
| Athletic Club leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | No $837 | — | — | Yes $60 |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $272 | — | — | No $11 |
| Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | No $306K | — | — | No $40K |
| Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $79K | — | — | Yes $16K |
| Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | No $32K | — | — | No $26K |
| Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5) same side · consensus Sunderland AFC | Sunderland AFC $47K | — | — | Sunderland AFC $4.7K |
| Will Çorum FK win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | No $15K | — | — | No $12K |
| Will Elche CF win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | No $18K | — | — | No $8.2K |
| Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | No $14K | — | — | No $8.9K |
| CD Universidad Católica vs. CD Limache: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $10K | — | — | Under $12K |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | No $14K | — | — | No $2.5K |
| Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | Yes $7.8K | — | — | Yes $5.6K |
| Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus Yes | No $10K | — | — | No $477 |
| Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Lille OSC: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $5.2K | — | — | Over $676 |
| Exact Score: Elche CF 0 - 0 Real Betis Balompié? same side · consensus No | No $747 | — | — | No $1.6K |
| Exact Score: Sunderland AFC 1 - 3 Chelsea FC? same side · consensus No | No $1.5K | — | — | No $21 |
| Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw? same side · consensus No | Yes $703 | — | — | Yes $517 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $95 | — | — | Under $1.1K |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $721 | — | — | Under $20 |
| Boluspor leading at halftime? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $173 | — | — | Yes $240 |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) same side · consensus Athletic Club | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246 | — | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $203 | — | — | Under $41 |
| Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score same side · consensus No | No $28 | — | No $115 | — |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $51 | — | — | Over $29 |
| Exact Score: Crystal Palace FC 2 - 2 Liverpool FC? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $38 | — | — | Yes $5 |