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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighMegaMan-.-
Record (consensus markets)71% (2399–968, n=3367)48% (529–574, n=1103)54% (19–16, n=35)
Consensus PnL$416K$544K$2.4K
Tracked asPM monthly #13PM monthly #18PM monthly #137
Sides with the consensus48% (91 of 188 open)67% (90 of 135 open)100% (2 of 2 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topicCollege Basketball −4 pts, n=174——
Settled positions, side won44% of 1017 at avg 44¢, ROI −3%100% of 351 at avg 51¢, ROI +45%100% of 23 at avg 56¢, ROI +44%
Entries under 30¢40% (won 5% of 409)6% (won 100% of 20)4% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢22% (won 41% of 222)36% (won 100% of 128)26% (won 100% of 6)
Entries 50–70¢11% (won 64% of 115)50% (won 100% of 175)57% (won 100% of 13)
Entries 70¢ and up27% (won 94% of 271)8% (won 100% of 28)13% (won 100% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

10 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighMegaMan-.-
Spread: Mavericks (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
Cavaliers $43Mavericks $31K—
Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
Grizzlies $151Nets $11K—
Florida International vs. Delaware
opposite sides · consensus Delaware
Florida International $12Delaware $10K—
Florida vs. Kentucky
opposite sides · consensus Kentucky
Florida $2.9KKentucky $940—
Mirassol FC vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $84Over $3.5K—
Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
Cavaliers $127Mavericks $1.4K—
Spread: Northern Kentucky Norse (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan Chippewas
Northern Kentucky Norse $4Central Michigan Chippewas $1.4K—
Spread: Saint Joseph's Hawks (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Penn Quakers
Saint Joseph's Hawks $90Penn Quakers $880—
Will Haiti win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $232No $90—
Spread: Blackhawks (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Blackhawks
Jets $18Blackhawks $34—
WTA Finals, Group A: Jessica Pegula vs Mirra Andreeva
same side · consensus Mirra Andreeva
Mirra Andreeva $36KMirra Andreeva $164K—
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner
same side · consensus Gen.G
—Gen.G $9.1KGen.G $45K
Kansas vs. West Virginia
same side · consensus Kansas
Kansas $3Kansas $38K—
Georgia Southern vs. Georgia State
same side · consensus Georgia State
Georgia State $9Georgia State $12K—
WTA Finals Doubles, Group 1 (Doubles): Guo/Mladenovic vs Mertens/Zhang
same side · consensus Mertens/Zhang
Mertens/Zhang $1.2KMertens/Zhang $9.3K—
Jets vs. Blackhawks
same side · consensus Blackhawks
Blackhawks $112Blackhawks $1.8K—
Will United States win on 2026-11-14?
same side · consensus Yes
No $851No $16—
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 231.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $310Over $124—
UNC Asheville Bulldogs vs. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets
same side · consensus UNC Asheville Bulldogs
UNC Asheville Bulldogs $271UNC Asheville Bulldogs $15—
Will Haiti vs. United States end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
Yes $27Yes $3—