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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
fantasy7788FlaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighMegaMan-.-
Record (consensus markets)53% (16–14, n=30)71% (2503–1011, n=3514)48% (551–602, n=1153)54% (19–16, n=35)
Consensus PnL$586K$488K$482K$2.4K
Tracked asPM monthly #40PM monthly #13PM monthly #18PM monthly #137
Sides with the consensus50% (2 of 4 open)48% (89 of 184 open)62% (81 of 131 open)100% (3 of 3 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic—College Basketball −4 pts, n=174——
Settled positions, side won100% of 17 at avg 48¢, ROI +53%44% of 1017 at avg 44¢, ROI −3%100% of 351 at avg 51¢, ROI +45%100% of 23 at avg 56¢, ROI +44%
Entries under 30¢6% (won 100% of 1)40% (won 5% of 409)6% (won 100% of 20)4% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢53% (won 100% of 9)22% (won 41% of 222)36% (won 100% of 128)26% (won 100% of 6)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 6)11% (won 64% of 115)50% (won 100% of 175)57% (won 100% of 13)
Entries 70¢ and up6% (won 100% of 1)27% (won 94% of 271)8% (won 100% of 28)13% (won 100% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

11 on the same side, 13 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketfantasy7788FlaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighMegaMan-.-
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner
opposite sides · consensus Bilibili Gaming
Bilibili Gaming $248K—Gen.G $6.2KBilibili Gaming $23K
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner
opposite sides · consensus Gen.G
Bilibili Gaming $1.1K—Gen.G $9.1KGen.G $45K
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Bilibili Gaming (+1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bilibili Gaming
Bilibili Gaming $103K—Gen.G $8.5K—
Spread: Mavericks (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
—Cavaliers $43Mavericks $31K—
USC vs. Indiana
opposite sides · consensus Indiana
—USC $309Indiana $16K—
Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
—Grizzlies $146Nets $11K—
Florida vs. Kentucky
opposite sides · consensus Kentucky
—Florida $2.9KKentucky $940—
Mirassol FC vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $111Over $2.4K—
Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
—Cavaliers $127Mavericks $1.4K—
Spread: Northern Kentucky Norse (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan Chippewas
—Northern Kentucky Norse $4Central Michigan Chippewas $1.4K—
Spread: Saint Joseph's Hawks (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Penn Quakers
—Saint Joseph's Hawks $90Penn Quakers $846—
Will Haiti win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $87No $96—
Spread: Blackhawks (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Blackhawks
—Jets $62Blackhawks $30—
Kansas vs. West Virginia
same side · consensus Kansas
—Kansas $6Kansas $60K—
WTA Finals Doubles, Group 1 (Doubles): Guo/Mladenovic vs Mertens/Zhang
same side · consensus Mertens/Zhang
—Mertens/Zhang $1.2KMertens/Zhang $9.3K—
Georgia Southern vs. Georgia State
same side · consensus Georgia Southern
—Georgia State $6Georgia State $7.8K—
Jets vs. Blackhawks
same side · consensus Blackhawks
—Blackhawks $134Blackhawks $1.8K—
Will United States win on 2026-11-14?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $454No $19—
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 231.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $310Over $124—
Jets vs. Blackhawks: O/U 6.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $105Over $32—
UFC 334: Jim Miller vs. Terrance McKinney (Lightweight, Prelims)
same side · consensus Terrance McKinney
—Jim Miller $2Jim Miller $90—
Jets vs. Blackhawks: O/U 8.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $54Over $14—
Will Haiti vs. United States end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $26Yes $19—
Jets vs. Blackhawks: O/U 7.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $30Over $8—