UNC Asheville Bulldogs vs. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets

4 of 12 top Polymarket traders hold Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (33%) · Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets at 73¢ · $7K held · ended Nov 14

UNC Asheville Bulldogs28¢Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets72¢Ended Sat, Nov 14, 2026View on Polymarket

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Avoid

Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets

Consensus Traders

Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets 33%

4 arb excluded

Total Value

$7.0K

Combined PnL

$178.42

Smart Money Entry

62¢ → 72.5¢

+17% since entry · 4 traders

Research grade

AvoidGeorgia Tech Yellow Jackets at 73%

Matches a pattern that lost clearly more than the plain consensus in our tests.

BasketballFull year, out of sample: basketball lost −4.8 % a trade (n 1,747, 95 % CI −9.2 to +0.3); Oct 22 backtest: −12.0 % and −9.2 % in its two windows.
Consensus under 60 %Every backtest started at 60 %+ of the holders; below that nothing was measured.
Favourite (60–95¢)Full year, out of sample: 0.70–0.90 lost −0.9 % a trade (n 26,050, 95 % CI −1.5 to −0.3): the least bad band, still a loss. The Oct 22 backtest's +0.4 % (n 4,327) was not confirmed.

The rules come from our Oct 22 2026 backtest (one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees). Our full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found none of them profitable out of sample, and the plain consensus lost −3.0 % a trade. The grade describes the market; it is not a forecast, not an edge and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets

4 of 12 top traders (33%)4 arbitrage traders dimmed8 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

UNC Asheville Bulldogs28%

Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets73%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets4 traders

Total Value$2.8K

Total Shares4,132

Combined PnL+$224.39

UNC Asheville Bulldogs8 traders

Total Value$342.79

Total Shares1,072

Combined PnL-$45.97

Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets — 33%UNC Asheville Bulldogs — 67%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
TA takeormake	Georgia Tech Yellow Jacketsavg 61.4¢	$2.4K	$2.6K	+$273.25	57% 3574-2660 (6234)
SN SnakeBallARB<$100	UNC Asheville Bulldogsavg 38.4¢	$1.7K	$1.6K	-$82.46	47% 969-1095 (2064)
└ UNC Asheville Bulldogs leg	UNC Asheville Bulldogsavg 38.4¢	$1.0K	$826.23	-$180.64
└ Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets leg	Georgia Tech Yellow Jacketsavg 59.4¢	$644.45	$742.62	+$98.17
FL FlaznorpARB<$100	UNC Asheville Bulldogsavg 38.5¢	$1.6K	$1.3K	-$264.66	49% 4068-4262 (8330)
└ UNC Asheville Bulldogs leg	UNC Asheville Bulldogsavg 38.5¢	$1.1K	$781.68	-$316.09
└ Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets leg	Georgia Tech Yellow Jacketsavg 65.8¢	$502.74	$554.17	+$51.43
NO NotJumpARB<$100	Georgia Tech Yellow Jacketsavg 52.7¢	$592	$592.5	+$0.5	52% 883-823 (1706)
└ Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets leg	Georgia Tech Yellow Jacketsavg 52.7¢	$329.5	$421.88	+$92.38
└ UNC Asheville Bulldogs leg	UNC Asheville Bulldogsavg 50¢	$262.5	$170.63	-$91.88
RN1ARB<$100	Georgia Tech Yellow Jacketsavg 72.4¢	$321.87	$308.03	-$13.84	55% 5455-4439 (9894)
└ Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets leg	Georgia Tech Yellow Jacketsavg 72.4¢	$235.58	$222.98	-$12.6
└ UNC Asheville Bulldogs leg	UNC Asheville Bulldogsavg 32¢	$86.29	$85.05	-$1.24
0X 0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872	Georgia Tech Yellow Jacketsavg 70.5¢	$723.42	$187.07	-$33.36	55% 1630-1337 (2967)
LI LightParadoxCTR	UNC Asheville Bulldogsavg 35.3¢	$181.47	$157	-$24.48	37% 1053-1783 (2836)
LI LimousinCTR<$100	UNC Asheville Bulldogsavg 36.5¢	$82.4	$75.6	-$6.8	37% 1030-1762 (2792)
38 38791873984189CTR	UNC Asheville Bulldogsavg 38.7¢	$188.19	$35.43	-$17.02	48% 3273-3600 (6873)
BO BoomLaLaCTR<$100	UNC Asheville Bulldogsavg 34¢	$34	$31.5	-$2.5	35% 162-305 (467)
PA Pan9X<$100	Georgia Tech Yellow Jacketsavg 61.5¢	$58.6	$14.71	-$8.06	50% 1601-1625 (3226)
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghighCTR<$100	UNC Asheville Bulldogsavg 19.9¢	$7.67	$14.67	+$7	50% 2560-2519 (5079)
VE VenusianCTR<$100	UNC Asheville Bulldogsavg 40¢	$19.17	$14.62	-$4.55	37% 1035-1784 (2819)
FE ferdinand2CTR<$100	UNC Asheville Bulldogsavg 27¢	$10.27	$12.75	+$2.48	48% 2212-2378 (4590)
TH thirdt1me<$100	Georgia Tech Yellow Jacketsavg 80¢	$89.02	$6.47	-$7.44	48% 283-303 (586)
FO Forecastication2CTR<$100	UNC Asheville Bulldogsavg 7¢	$1.33	$1.24	-$0.09	45% 268-322 (590)

takeormake

Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets

Invested

$2,350.82

Value

$2.6K

PnL

+$273.25

Record

57%

3574-2660 (6234)

SnakeBallARB<$100

UNC Asheville Bulldogs

Invested

$1,651.32

Value

$1.6K

PnL

-$82.46

Record

47%

969-1095 (2064)

Both legs:

UNC Asheville Bulldogs$1,006.8738.4¢-$180.64

Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets$644.4559.4¢+$98.17

FlaznorpARB<$100

UNC Asheville Bulldogs

Invested

$1,616

Value

$1.3K

PnL

-$264.66

Record

49%

4068-4262 (8330)

Both legs:

UNC Asheville Bulldogs$1,094.0238.5¢-$316.09

Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets$502.7465.8¢+$51.43

NotJumpARB<$100

Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets

Invested

$592

Value

$592.5

PnL

+$0.5

Record

52%

883-823 (1706)

Both legs:

Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets$329.552.7¢+$92.38

UNC Asheville Bulldogs$262.550¢-$91.88

RN1ARB<$100

Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets

Invested

$321.87

Value

$308.03

PnL

-$13.84

Record

55%

5455-4439 (9894)

Both legs:

Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets$235.5872.4¢-$12.6

UNC Asheville Bulldogs$86.2932¢-$1.24

0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872

Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets

Invested

$723.42

Value

$187.07

PnL

-$33.36

Record

55%

1630-1337 (2967)

LightParadoxCTR

UNC Asheville Bulldogs

Invested

$181.47

Value

$157

PnL

-$24.48

Record

37%

1053-1783 (2836)

LimousinCTR<$100

UNC Asheville Bulldogs

Invested

$82.4

Value

$75.6

PnL

-$6.8

Record

37%

1030-1762 (2792)

38791873984189CTR

UNC Asheville Bulldogs

Invested

$188.19

Value

$35.43

PnL

-$17.02

Record

48%

3273-3600 (6873)

BoomLaLaCTR<$100

UNC Asheville Bulldogs

Invested

$34

Value

$31.5

PnL

-$2.5

Record

35%

162-305 (467)

Pan9X<$100

Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets

Invested

$58.6

Value

$14.71

PnL

-$8.06

Record

50%

1601-1625 (3226)

keeptheblueflagflyinghighCTR<$100

UNC Asheville Bulldogs

Invested

$7.67

Value

$14.67

PnL

+$7

Record

50%

2560-2519 (5079)

VenusianCTR<$100

UNC Asheville Bulldogs

Invested

$19.17

Value

$14.62

PnL

-$4.55

Record

37%

1035-1784 (2819)

ferdinand2CTR<$100

UNC Asheville Bulldogs

Invested

$10.27

Value

$12.75

PnL

+$2.48

Record

48%

2212-2378 (4590)

thirdt1me<$100

Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets

Invested

$89.02

Value

$6.47

PnL

-$7.44

Record

48%

283-303 (586)

Forecastication2CTR<$100

UNC Asheville Bulldogs

Invested

$1.33

Value

$1.24

PnL

-$0.09

Record

45%

268-322 (590)

Research grade

AvoidGeorgia Tech Yellow Jackets at 73%

Matches a pattern that lost clearly more than the plain consensus in our tests.

BasketballFull year, out of sample: basketball lost −4.8 % a trade (n 1,747, 95 % CI −9.2 to +0.3); Oct 22 backtest: −12.0 % and −9.2 % in its two windows.
Consensus under 60 %Every backtest started at 60 %+ of the holders; below that nothing was measured.
Favourite (60–95¢)Full year, out of sample: 0.70–0.90 lost −0.9 % a trade (n 26,050, 95 % CI −1.5 to −0.3): the least bad band, still a loss. The Oct 22 backtest's +0.4 % (n 4,327) was not confirmed.

Smart Money Signal

Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets

4 of 12 top traders (33%)4 arbitrage traders dimmed8 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance74.5%

72.5¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 1.0¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$34.28

Max Loss

-$100.00

134.3

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.