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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighMD14MegaMan-.-
Record (consensus markets)71% (2399–968, n=3367)48% (529–574, n=1103)85% (22–4, n=26)54% (19–16, n=35)
Consensus PnL$416K$544K$318K$2.4K
Tracked asPM monthly #13PM monthly #18PM monthly #142PM monthly #137
Sides with the consensus49% (95 of 192 open)64% (85 of 133 open)0% (0 of 1 open)100% (3 of 3 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +20 pts n=17, ROI +16%
Weakest topicCollege Basketball −4 pts, n=174———
Settled positions, side won44% of 1017 at avg 44¢, ROI −3%100% of 351 at avg 51¢, ROI +45%92% of 24 at avg 71¢, ROI +22%100% of 23 at avg 56¢, ROI +44%
Entries under 30¢40% (won 5% of 409)6% (won 100% of 20)4% (won 0% of 1)4% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢22% (won 41% of 222)36% (won 100% of 128)13% (won 100% of 3)26% (won 100% of 6)
Entries 50–70¢11% (won 64% of 115)50% (won 100% of 175)21% (won 80% of 5)57% (won 100% of 13)
Entries 70¢ and up27% (won 94% of 271)8% (won 100% of 28)63% (won 100% of 15)13% (won 100% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

11 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighMD14MegaMan-.-
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner
opposite sides · consensus Gen.G
—Gen.G $9.1KBilibili Gaming $25Gen.G $45K
Spread: Mavericks (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
Cavaliers $43Mavericks $31K——
Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
Grizzlies $151Nets $11K——
Florida vs. Kentucky
opposite sides · consensus Kentucky
Florida $2.9KKentucky $940——
Mirassol FC vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $84Over $3.5K——
Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
Cavaliers $127Mavericks $1.4K——
Spread: Northern Kentucky Norse (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan Chippewas
Northern Kentucky Norse $4Central Michigan Chippewas $1.4K——
Spread: Saint Joseph's Hawks (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Penn Quakers
Saint Joseph's Hawks $90Penn Quakers $880——
Will Haiti win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $232No $90——
Spread: Blackhawks (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Blackhawks
Jets $64Blackhawks $34——
Kansas vs. West Virginia
same side · consensus Kansas
Kansas $3Kansas $63K——
WTA Finals Doubles, Group 1 (Doubles): Guo/Mladenovic vs Mertens/Zhang
same side · consensus Mertens/Zhang
Mertens/Zhang $1.2KMertens/Zhang $9.3K——
Georgia Southern vs. Georgia State
same side · consensus Georgia Southern
Georgia State $9Georgia State $7.8K——
Jets vs. Blackhawks
same side · consensus Blackhawks
Blackhawks $112Blackhawks $1.8K——
Will United States win on 2026-11-14?
same side · consensus Yes
No $851No $15——
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 231.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $310Over $124——
Jets vs. Blackhawks: O/U 6.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $165Over $26——
Jets vs. Blackhawks: O/U 8.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $139Over $39——
UFC 334: Jim Miller vs. Terrance McKinney (Lightweight, Prelims)
same side · consensus Terrance McKinney
Jim Miller $2Jim Miller $88——
Jets vs. Blackhawks: O/U 7.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $37Over $21——
Will Haiti vs. United States end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
Yes $27Yes $12——