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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Flaznorp | Randomfool | RN1 | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 52% (6519–6017, n=12536) | 98% (126–3, n=129) | 48% (14128–15613, n=29741) | 50% (20929–20600, n=41529) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.5M | $60K | $14.8M | $3.2M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #24 | was PM monthly #999 | PM monthly #29 + pinned | PM monthly #7 |
| Sides with the consensus | 69% (208 of 301 open) | no open consensus position | 67% (24 of 36 open) | 70% (32 of 46 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | Tennis −1 pts, n=24 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 98% of 124 at avg 96¢, ROI +2% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 0% | 10% (won 57% of 2538) | 7% (won 99% of 2623) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 0% | 22% (won 94% of 5565) | 21% (won 100% of 7839) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 0% | 36% (won 99% of 9017) | 22% (won 100% of 8452) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 100% (won 98% of 124) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) | 51% (won 100% of 19323) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
18 on the same side, 21 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Flaznorp | Randomfool | RN1 | UpTheBlues |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $14K | — | Over $1.5K | Under $22K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | No $4.4K | — | Yes $1.9K | No $5.4K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $9 | — | Over $1.5K | Under $5.2K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | No $3.1K | — | Yes $7 | No $2.7K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $572 | — | Over $3.3K | Under $1.3K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $2.6K | — | Over $36 | Under $1.5K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $476 | — | Under $1.3K | Under $64 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $702 | — | Under $20 | Over $5 |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $268 | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 | Athletic Club $345 |
| Boluspor leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $127 | — | Yes $176 | No $270 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $7 | — | Over $28 | Under $12 |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | No $14K | — | No $2.5K | No $3.1K |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $174 | — | Under $42 | Under $791 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $360 | Under $7.6K |
| Bratislava 2: Dalibor Svrcina vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard opposite sides · consensus Dalibor Svrcina | Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard $242 | — | Dalibor Svrcina $2.0K | — |
| Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | — | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K | Athletic Club $226 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $466 | — | No $529 | — |
| Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $758 | Yes $130 |
| Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Brute (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Playoffs opposite sides · consensus Brute | GenOne $2 | — | Brute $833 | — |
| Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club? opposite sides · consensus No | No $548 | — | — | Yes $2 |
| Athletic Club leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $61 | No $172 |
| M25 Valencia: Julio Cesar Porras vs Ivan Gakhov opposite sides · consensus Ivan Gakhov | Julio Cesar Porras $20 | — | Ivan Gakhov $207 | — |
| CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | No $132 | — | — | Yes $3 |
| Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $16K | — | Yes $11K | — |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | No $499 | — | — | No $15K |
| Will AC Milan win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $6.2K | — | Yes $5.4K | — |
| Villa Maria: Juan Bautista Torres vs Ryan Nijboer same side · consensus Juan Bautista Torres | Juan Bautista Torres $76 | — | Juan Bautista Torres $3.3K | — |
| FC Twente vs. Páfos FC: O/U 4.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $1.2K | — | Over $1.9K | — |
| Will KAA Gent win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | No $1.1K | — | No $2.0K | — |
| Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14? same side · consensus No | No $1.6K | — | — | No $1.1K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Under $1.1K | Under $945 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $343 | — | — | Under $768 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $1.0K | — | — | Over $7 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $364 | — | — | Under $601 |
| K. Sint-Truidense VV vs. SK Brann: O/U 4.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $270 | — | Over $686 | — |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 0 Boluspor? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $138 | — | — | Yes $65 |
| Spread: SD Eibar (-2.5) same side · consensus CD Pamplona | CD Pamplona $127 | — | — | CD Pamplona $6 |
| Will Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor end in a draw? same side · consensus No | No $6 | — | — | No $60 |
| Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 3 Athletic Club? same side · consensus No | Yes $12 | — | — | Yes $2 |