Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpMatheobongRN1S-Works
Record (consensus markets)52% (7690–6979, n=14669)56% (5–4, n=9)48% (17933–19364, n=37297)75% (2542–853, n=3395)
Consensus PnL$4.1M$102K$14.8M$3.7M
Tracked asPM monthly #9PM monthly #276PM monthly #30 + pinnedPM monthly #73
Sides with the consensus74% (192 of 259 open)no open consensus position59% (88 of 149 open)50% (1 of 2 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
Weakest topicOther Sports −28 pts, n=15——Crypto −1 pts, n=46
Settled positions, side won56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%83% of 6 at avg 50¢, ROI +36%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 403)0%10% (won 57% of 2594)6% (won 14% of 145)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 38% of 228)50% (won 100% of 3)22% (won 94% of 5704)16% (won 48% of 367)
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 62% of 214)50% (won 67% of 3)35% (won 99% of 9204)23% (won 60% of 509)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 94% of 553)0%33% (won 100% of 8622)55% (won 96% of 1235)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

41 on the same side, 34 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpMatheobongRN1S-Works
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $129K—No $15K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K—Over $1.7K—
Villarreal CF vs. Getafe CF: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $7.8K—Over $5—
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. FC Schalke 04: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $621—Under $6.7K—
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $6.3K—No $222—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.5K—Yes $1.9K—
Will AD Pasto win on 2026-11-09?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.7K—Yes $2—
Cowboys vs. Colts
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
Colts $146—Cowboys $4.1K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $859—Over $3.0K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K—Yes $7—
Villarreal CF vs. Getafe CF: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $2.3K—Under $617—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K—Over $36—
Villarreal CF vs. Getafe CF: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.2K—Over $6—
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Virginia Cavaliers
opposite sides · consensus Virginia Cavaliers
Virginia Cavaliers $1.7K—Arkansas Razorbacks $347—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $446—Under $1.4K—
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Levante UD: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.5K—Over $21—
Brown Bears vs. Lehigh Mountain Hawks
opposite sides · consensus Lehigh Mountain Hawks
Brown Bears $240—Lehigh Mountain Hawks $1.2K—
Spread: Villarreal CF (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Getafe CF
Getafe CF $554—Villarreal CF $730—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $873—Yes $315—
FC Utrecht vs. NEC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $1.2K—No $2—
Will Olympiacos Piraeus win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $536—Yes $568—
Spread: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
FC Schalke 04 $553—TSG 1899 Hoffenheim $483—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $471—No $524—
Will Real Sporting de Gijón win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $899—Yes $1—
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $837—Yes $60—
Exact Score: RC Celta de Vigo 1 - 0 Levante UD?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $4—No $860—
Will Real Valladolid CF win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $782—No $50—
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Levante UD: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $703—Under $30—
Will Real Sporting de Gijón vs. Real Valladolid CF end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $462—Yes $43—
76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 223.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $334—Under $7—
Exact Score: Villarreal CF 0 - 1 Getafe CF?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $78—No $250—
CD Ñublense vs. CSD Colo-Colo: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $225—Under $2—
Spread: Virginia Cavaliers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Virginia Cavaliers
Arkansas Razorbacks $38—Virginia Cavaliers $2—
Orleans: Ferdinand Livet Novkirichka vs Alexander Ritschard
opposite sides · consensus Alexander Ritschard
Ferdinand Livet Novkirichka $2—Alexander Ritschard $16—
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $76K—No $4.7K—
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $36K—No $15K—
Will NEC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $20K—No $8.8K—
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $16K—No $12K—
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $24K—Under $547—
Will Levante UD win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $22K—No $2.1K—
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jaume Munar
same side · consensus Thiago Agustin Tirante
Thiago Agustin Tirante $1.5K—Thiago Agustin Tirante $17K—
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $6.8K—Over $10K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K—No $2.5K—
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $12K—No $3.1K—
Will Gençlerbirliği SK win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $7.5K—No $5.9K—
Will RC Celta de Vigo vs. Levante UD end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $12K—No $646—
Will Villarreal CF vs. Getafe CF end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $7.4K—No $3.2K—
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. FC Schalke 04: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $9.6K—Yes $428—
Villarreal CF vs. Getafe CF: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $4.7K—Under $4.3K—
Spread: CF Universidad de Chile (-1.5)
same side · consensus CF Universidad de Chile
CD Cobresal $4.4K—CD Cobresal $3.5K—