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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpHomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghighshineforeverr
Record (consensus markets)71% (2090–853, n=2943)54% (448–384, n=832)48% (501–539, n=1040)75% (6–2, n=8)
Consensus PnL$388K$332K$462K$318
Tracked asPM monthly #13PM monthly #9PM monthly #21PM monthly #251
Sides with the consensus51% (113 of 220 open)67% (82 of 123 open)53% (10 of 19 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topicSoccer ±0 pts, n=381———
Settled positions, side won44% of 896 at avg 44¢, ROI −1%100% of 212 at avg 53¢, ROI +47%100% of 329 at avg 51¢, ROI +45%25% of 4 at avg 48¢, ROI −22%
Entries under 30¢40% (won 6% of 362)1% (won 100% of 2)6% (won 100% of 19)25% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢21% (won 43% of 192)32% (won 100% of 68)36% (won 100% of 120)50% (won 0% of 2)
Entries 50–70¢11% (won 64% of 103)60% (won 100% of 127)50% (won 100% of 166)0%
Entries 70¢ and up27% (won 95% of 239)7% (won 100% of 15)7% (won 100% of 24)25% (won 100% of 1)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

12 on the same side, 11 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpHomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghighshineforeverr
Kraken vs. Hurricanes
opposite sides · consensus Hurricanes
—Kraken $41Hurricanes $34K—
Georgia vs. Hungary: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $2.3K—Under $15K—
Spread: Norway (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Norway
Wales $2.1K—Norway $15K—
Nebraska vs. Rutgers: O/U 51.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.5KOver $3.4K—
Kosovo vs. Israel: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $952—Under $4.7K—
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Denmark
Portugal $1.5K—Denmark $4.0K—
Monastir: Pedro Vives Marcos vs Kilian Feldbausch
opposite sides · consensus Kilian Feldbausch
Pedro Vives Marcos $239—Kilian Feldbausch $4.1K—
Tulane Green Wave vs. Akron Zips: O/U 155.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $14Under $986——
Duke vs. Miami (FL)
opposite sides · consensus Duke
Duke $356Miami (FL) $48——
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs BakS eSports (BO3) - CCT Europe Playoffs
opposite sides · consensus Virtus.pro
Virtus.pro $76—BakS eSports $44—
Victoria Women T20I: Uganda Women vs Rwanda Women
opposite sides · consensus Rwanda Women
Rwanda Women $12—Uganda Women $37—
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Taylor Fritz vs Thiago Agustin Tirante
same side · consensus Taylor Fritz
Taylor Fritz $1.1K—Taylor Fritz $14K—
Spread: Nuggets (-9.5)
same side · consensus Nuggets
Pelicans $6.1KPelicans $7.9K——
WTA Finals Doubles, Group 1 (Doubles): Guo/Mladenovic vs Mertens/Zhang
same side · consensus Mertens/Zhang
Mertens/Zhang $1.2K—Mertens/Zhang $9.4K—
Vikings vs. Packers
same side · consensus Packers
Vikings $296Vikings $6.5K——
Seahawks vs. Raiders
same side · consensus Seahawks
Seahawks $546Seahawks $1.5K——
Pistons vs. Heat
same side · consensus Heat
Heat $388Heat $1.1K——
Chiefs vs. Falcons
same side · consensus Chiefs
Falcons $174Falcons $1.2K——
Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State
same side · consensus Oklahoma State
Texas Tech $26Texas Tech $1.2K——
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
Colts $49Colts $1.1K——
M25 San Gregorio di Catania: Alex Marti Pujolras vs Raffaele Ciurnelli
same side · consensus Raffaele Ciurnelli
Raffaele Ciurnelli $68—Raffaele Ciurnelli $41—
Nepal Premier League: Biratnagar Kings vs Lumbini Lions
same side · consensus Biratnagar Kings
Lumbini Lions $15—Lumbini Lions $26—
Abu Dhabi T10 League: Royal Desert Champions vs United Tigers
same side · consensus United Tigers
Royal Desert Champions $12—Royal Desert Champions $8—