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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Flaznorp | Haradwaith | RN1 | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 52% (6520–6024, n=12544) | 40% (3385–5153, n=8538) | 47% (14133–15621, n=29754) | 50% (20932–20600, n=41532) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.5M | -$465K | $14.8M | $3.2M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #276 | PM monthly #28 + pinned | PM monthly #7 |
| Sides with the consensus | 70% (242 of 346 open) | 70% (370 of 529 open) | 66% (44 of 67 open) | 70% (32 of 46 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | Weather −6 pts, n=556 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 39% of 3845 at avg 42¢, ROI −2% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 53% (won 3% of 2055) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) | 7% (won 99% of 2623) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 4% (won 35% of 170) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) | 21% (won 100% of 7839) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 5% (won 54% of 178) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) | 22% (won 100% of 8452) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 38% (won 89% of 1442) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) | 51% (won 100% of 19323) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
31 on the same side, 25 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Flaznorp | Haradwaith | RN1 | UpTheBlues |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $13K | — | Over $1.5K | Under $22K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | No $4.4K | — | Yes $1.9K | No $5.4K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $9 | — | Over $1.5K | Under $5.2K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | No $3.1K | — | Yes $7 | No $2.7K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $586 | — | Over $3.3K | Under $1.4K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $2.6K | — | Over $36 | Under $1.5K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $476 | — | Under $1.3K | Under $64 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $702 | — | Under $20 | Over $5 |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246 | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 | Athletic Club $354 |
| Boluspor leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $138 | — | Yes $192 | No $249 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $7 | — | Over $29 | Under $12 |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | No $14K | — | No $2.5K | No $3.1K |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $176 | — | Under $42 | Under $796 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $360 | Under $7.6K |
| Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus No | No $6.8K | — | Yes $543 | — |
| Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | — | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K | Athletic Club $218 |
| W35 Orlando, FL: Lavinia Tanasie vs Whitney Osuigwe opposite sides · consensus Whitney Osuigwe | Whitney Osuigwe $1.9K | — | Lavinia Tanasie $5 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $466 | — | No $529 | — |
| Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $758 | Yes $130 |
| Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club? opposite sides · consensus No | No $596 | — | — | Yes $154 |
| W75 Petange: Lisa Pigato vs Greet Minnen opposite sides · consensus Greet Minnen | Greet Minnen $683 | — | Lisa Pigato $48 | — |
| M25 Valencia: Julio Cesar Porras vs Ivan Gakhov opposite sides · consensus Ivan Gakhov | Julio Cesar Porras $23 | — | Ivan Gakhov $225 | — |
| Villa Maria: Juan Pablo Ficovich vs Murkel Dellien opposite sides · consensus Juan Pablo Ficovich | Murkel Dellien $211 | — | Juan Pablo Ficovich $37 | — |
| Athletic Club leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $61 | No $172 |
| CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | No $132 | — | — | Yes $3 |
| W50 Huamantla: Jo-Yee Chan vs Cadence Brace opposite sides · consensus Cadence Brace | Cadence Brace $59 | — | Jo-Yee Chan $36 | — |
| Exact Score: AC Milan 2 - 0 Ferencvárosi TC? opposite sides · consensus No | No $41 | — | Yes $3 | — |
| Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $16K | — | Yes $11K | — |
| AC Sparta Praha vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $13K | — | Under $3.9K | — |
| AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $17K | — | Under $139 | — |
| PFK Levski Sofia vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: O/U 4.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $7.3K | — | Under $8.9K | — |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | No $499 | — | — | No $15K |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Nuno Borges vs Ignacio Buse same side · consensus Nuno Borges | Nuno Borges $6.0K | — | Nuno Borges $8.6K | — |
| Will FC Thun win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | Yes $1.5K | — | Yes $10K | — |
| Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | Yes $11K | — | Yes $546 | — |
| Spread: NEC (-1.5) same side · consensus AS Omónoia Leukosías | AS Omónoia Leukosías $10K | — | AS Omónoia Leukosías $3 | — |
| AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 4.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $8.5K | — | Under $128 | — |
| Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 5.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $5.0K | — | Under $2.4K | — |
| Will KAA Gent win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | No $1.4K | — | No $1.9K | — |
| Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14? same side · consensus No | No $1.6K | — | — | No $1.1K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Under $1.1K | Under $945 |
| Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 3 Athletic Club? same side · consensus No | Yes $1.0K | — | — | Yes $153 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $337 | — | — | Under $755 |
| AC Sparta Praha vs. AFC Bournemouth: Both Teams to Score same side · consensus Yes | No $1.1K | — | No $5 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $1.1K | — | — | Over $8 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $361 | — | — | Under $595 |
| Trabzonspor vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $806 | — | Under $49 | — |
| K. Sint-Truidense VV vs. SK Brann: O/U 4.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $33 | — | Over $675 | — |
| Will FK Borac Banja Luka win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $451 | — | Yes $5 | — |
| Atalanta BC vs. Qairat FK: 1st Half O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $397 | — | Under $29 | — |