Resolution Proposed
A resolution has been proposed and is in the challenge window. Awaiting UMA oracle settlement.
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-11-05?
17 of 37 top Polymarket traders hold No (46%) · No at 100¢ · $124K held · awaiting resolution
⏳
Pending
37
No 46%
3 arb excluded
$124.4K
$15.0K
Smart Money Signal
17 of 37 top traders (46%)3 arbitrage traders dimmed20 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL Flaznorp | Noavg 61.1¢ | $38.7K | $37.2K | $-1.4K | 51% 25751-24453 (50204) |
VE Venusian | Noavg 42.5¢ | $11.8K | $26.5K | +$14.7K | 51% 1379-1343 (2722) |
DA darkumbreon88CTR | Yesavg 60¢ | $13.7K | $16.9K | +$3.2K | 64% 1961-1090 (3051) |
 oieshfn345CTR | Yesavg 35.4¢ | $16.0K | $11.6K | $-4.4K | 57% 2031-1503 (3534) |
 RN1 | Noavg 47.4¢ | $7.8K | $11.0K | +$3.2K | 53% 61368-53685 (115053) |
LI Limousin | Noavg 42.6¢ | $2.4K | $5.2K | +$2.8K | 53% 1423-1266 (2689) |
MU Multicoloured-Serf | Noavg 43¢ | $3.3K | $2.0K | $-1.3K | 48% 347-378 (725) |
MA MadridTime | Noavg 44.2¢ | $970.15 | $1.9K | +$886.42 | 50% 1324-1301 (2625) |
PU purplegattoCTR | Yesavg 62.2¢ | $1.5K | $1.7K | +$277.81 | 49% 6290-6450 (12740) |
 Fuentes31CTR | Yesavg 58.2¢ | $1.0K | $1.3K | +$276.75 | 53% 681-603 (1284) |
LI LightParadox | Noavg 47.7¢ | $2.3K | $1.2K | $-1.0K | 52% 1376-1291 (2667) |
AN analdesutructor | Noavg 62.2¢ | $2.9K | $1.2K | $-1.7K | 52% 190-173 (363) |
NM NM-P | Noavg 40.1¢ | $1.4K | $1.0K | -$436.35 | 64% 9927-5528 (15455) |
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghighARB<$100 | Yesavg 42.6¢ | $727.83 | $952.84 | +$225.01 | 46% 1539-1814 (3353) |
| └ Yes leg | Yesavg 42.6¢ | $388.24 | $674.4 | +$286.16 | |
| └ No leg | Noavg 31.7¢ | $339.6 | $278.44 | -$61.15 | |
GC GC-P | Noavg 39.5¢ | $555.52 | $798.9 | +$231.37 | 64% 9969-5596 (15565) |
0X 0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2 | Noavg 59.6¢ | $670.89 | $684.98 | +$14.09 | 52% 14491-13182 (27673) |
PL pltrkr111 | Noavg 43¢ | $900.29 | $544.36 | -$355.93 | 54% 771-644 (1415) |
SE sentrioCTR | Yesavg 60.9¢ | $400.97 | $447.74 | +$46.77 | 50% 25823-25522 (51345) |
CA CannaeARB<$100 | Noavg 42.4¢ | $513.61 | $380.52 | -$133.09 | 53% 16808-14936 (31744) |
| └ No leg | Noavg 42.4¢ | $417.78 | $256.11 | -$161.67 | |
| └ Yes leg | Yesavg 57¢ | $95.83 | $124.41 | +$28.58 | |
 0xheavy888CTR | Yesavg 59.6¢ | $286.6 | $355.94 | +$69.34 | 56% 7915-6323 (14238) |
38 38791873984189CTR | Yesavg 43.1¢ | $1.1K | $263.12 | -$506.07 | 48% 61176-65982 (127158) |
GO GoalLineGhostCTR | Yesavg 60¢ | $181.88 | $208.09 | +$26.2 | 50% 28428-28335 (56763) |
0X 0x760907C8840491c8C86fdDB843D3f1d801786C4e-1771959662080 | Noavg 38¢ | $228 | $156 | -$72 | 51% 1900-1851 (3751) |
CC ccllar | Noavg 65¢ | $80.14 | $122.6 | +$42.46 | 46% 532-614 (1146) |
 ZaiZoiBeleCTR | Yesavg 46.8¢ | $76.81 | $121.36 | +$44.55 | 80% 5292-1356 (6648) |
Invested
$38,660.91
Value
$37.2K
PnL
$-1.4K
Record
51%
25751-24453 (50204)
Invested
$11,805.48
Value
$26.5K
PnL
+$14.7K
Record
51%
1379-1343 (2722)
Invested
$13,663.16
Value
$16.9K
PnL
+$3.2K
Record
64%
1961-1090 (3051)
oieshfn345CTRInvested
$16,042.62
Value
$11.6K
PnL
$-4.4K
Record
57%
2031-1503 (3534)
RN1Invested
$7,798.89
Value
$11.0K
PnL
+$3.2K
Record
53%
61368-53685 (115053)
Invested
$2,442.16
Value
$5.2K
PnL
+$2.8K
Record
53%
1423-1266 (2689)
Invested
$3,275.36
Value
$2.0K
PnL
$-1.3K
Record
48%
347-378 (725)
Invested
$970.15
Value
$1.9K
PnL
+$886.42
Record
50%
1324-1301 (2625)
Invested
$1,462.85
Value
$1.7K
PnL
+$277.81
Record
49%
6290-6450 (12740)
Fuentes31CTRInvested
$1,021.5
Value
$1.3K
PnL
+$276.75
Record
53%
681-603 (1284)
Invested
$2,277.34
Value
$1.2K
PnL
$-1.0K
Record
52%
1376-1291 (2667)
Invested
$2,895.59
Value
$1.2K
PnL
$-1.7K
Record
52%
190-173 (363)
Invested
$1,413.12
Value
$1.0K
PnL
-$436.35
Record
64%
9927-5528 (15455)
Invested
$727.83
Value
$952.84
PnL
+$225.01
Record
46%
1539-1814 (3353)
Both legs:
Invested
$555.52
Value
$798.9
PnL
+$231.37
Record
64%
9969-5596 (15565)
Invested
$670.89
Value
$684.98
PnL
+$14.09
Record
52%
14491-13182 (27673)
Invested
$900.29
Value
$544.36
PnL
-$355.93
Record
54%
771-644 (1415)
Invested
$400.97
Value
$447.74
PnL
+$46.77
Record
50%
25823-25522 (51345)
Invested
$513.61
Value
$380.52
PnL
-$133.09
Record
53%
16808-14936 (31744)
Both legs:
0xheavy888CTRInvested
$286.6
Value
$355.94
PnL
+$69.34
Record
56%
7915-6323 (14238)
Invested
$1,050.69
Value
$263.12
PnL
-$506.07
Record
48%
61176-65982 (127158)
Invested
$181.88
Value
$208.09
PnL
+$26.2
Record
50%
28428-28335 (56763)
Invested
$228
Value
$156
PnL
-$72
Record
51%
1900-1851 (3751)
Invested
$80.14
Value
$122.6
PnL
+$42.46
Record
46%
532-614 (1146)
ZaiZoiBeleCTRInvested
$76.81
Value
$121.36
PnL
+$44.55
Record
80%
5292-1356 (6648)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
Flaznorp
No — $37.2K
Venusian
No — $26.5K
darkumbreon88
CTRYes — $16.9K
oieshfn345
CTRYes — $11.6K
RN1
No — $11.0K
Limousin
No — $5.2K
Multicoloured-Serf
No — $2.0K
MadridTime
No — $1.9K
purplegatto
CTRYes — $1.7K
Fuentes31
CTRYes — $1.3K