Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpGainMusclesprimmRN1
Record (consensus markets)52% (7739–7030, n=14769)no settled market50% (1248–1261, n=2509)48% (17938–19366, n=37304)
Consensus PnL$4.1M—$3.6M$14.9M
Tracked asPM monthly #16PM monthly #509PM monthly #48PM monthly #32 + pinned
Sides with the consensus69% (101 of 147 open)no open consensus position100% (1 of 1 open)60% (29 of 48 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
not computed yet
Weakest topicOther Sports −28 pts, n=15———
Settled positions, side won56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%—99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 403)—5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 38% of 228)—41% (won 99% of 421)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 62% of 214)—49% (won 99% of 508)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 94% of 553)—5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

18 on the same side, 18 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpGainMusclesprimmRN1
Jazz vs. Timberwolves
opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves
Jazz $1.1K——Timberwolves $30K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K——Over $1.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.5K——Yes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $859——Over $3.0K
Will CD Universidad de Concepción vs. O'Higgins FC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $2.9K——No $153
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K——Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K——Over $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $446——Under $1.4K
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $873——Yes $315
Spread: Pistons (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lakers
Lakers $797——Pistons $307
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $471——No $524
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $837——Yes $60
Spread: Mavericks (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
Mavericks $499——Nets $144
Nets vs. Mavericks: O/U 222.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $349——Under $197
Knoxville: Patrick Zahraj vs Sebastian Dominko
opposite sides · consensus Sebastian Dominko
Sebastian Dominko $197——Patrick Zahraj $163
Nets vs. Mavericks: O/U 220.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $243——Under $95
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $272——No $11
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $6——Over $29
WTA Finals, Group A: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula
same side · consensus Coco Gauff
Coco Gauff $13K——Coco Gauff $58K
Will O'Higgins FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $60K——No $5.6K
Will CD Universidad de Concepción win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $8.5K——No $12K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K——No $2.5K
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)
same side · consensus Pistons
Lakers $6.6K——Lakers $152
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)
same side · consensus Pistons
Lakers $4.5K——Lakers $569
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)
same side · consensus Lakers
Lakers $3.8K——Lakers $730
Will Club Blooming win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $2.3K——No $282
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $95——Under $1.1K
Spread: Pistons (-9.5)
same side · consensus Lakers
Lakers $355——Lakers $484
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
Boluspor $751——Boluspor $44
Spread: Pistons (-1.5)
same side · consensus Pistons
Pistons $612——Pistons $170
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $702——Under $20
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $173——Yes $240
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $177——Under $41
Exact Score: Vitesse Arnhem 0 - 0 De Graafschap?
same side · consensus No
No $4——No $26