Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Ezmoneyfornowkeeptheblueflagflyinghighnigiri99robloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18
Record (consensus markets)50% (15–15, n=30)46% (387–447, n=834)54% (312–261, n=573)57% (37–28, n=65)
Consensus PnL$20K$509K$425K$440K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #952PM monthly #19PM monthly #135PM monthly #33 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position50% (27 of 54 open)50% (57 of 113 open)50% (4 of 8 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +45 pts n=29, ROI +40%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won89% of 18 at avg 44¢, ROI +36%100% of 280 at avg 51¢, ROI +44%65% of 504 at avg 53¢, ROI +5%100% of 37 at avg 58¢, ROI +36%
Entries under 30¢0%6% (won 100% of 17)14% (won 32% of 72)3% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢78% (won 93% of 14)38% (won 100% of 105)24% (won 55% of 121)32% (won 100% of 12)
Entries 50–70¢22% (won 75% of 4)49% (won 100% of 137)44% (won 69% of 222)43% (won 100% of 16)
Entries 70¢ and up0%8% (won 100% of 21)18% (won 98% of 89)22% (won 100% of 8)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

10 on the same side, 14 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketEzmoneyfornowkeeptheblueflagflyinghighnigiri99robloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs
opposite sides · consensus Gen.G
——Bilibili Gaming $1.1KGen.G $94K
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Knicks
—Pacers $20KKnicks $486—
Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pelicans
—Pelicans $7.4KGrizzlies $11K—
Spread: Hawks (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hawks
—Bulls $13KHawks $3.0K—
Bucks vs. Magic: O/U 224.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13KOver $1.3K—
Slovenia vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $10KOver $674—
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Greece
—Greece $10KNetherlands $17—
Grizzlies vs. Pelicans: O/U 235.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $367Under $5.0K—
Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pelicans
—Pelicans $3.4KGrizzlies $986—
Hawks vs. Bulls: O/U 245.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $2.8KOver $12—
Knicks vs. Pacers: O/U 219.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.6KOver $585—
Serbia vs. Germany: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $1.2KUnder $482—
Spread: Houston (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Houston
—Colorado $1.2KHouston $75—
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
—Knicks $397Pacers $21—
Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns vs. UNCW Seahawks
same side · consensus Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns
——Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns $337KLouisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns $211K
Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 222.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $11KOver $151—
Rangers vs. Canucks
same side · consensus Rangers
—Canucks $11KCanucks $508—
Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 220.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $5.4KOver $1.9K—
Netherlands vs. Greece: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $5.6KOver $285—
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)
same side · consensus Spurs
—Spurs $473Spurs $4.7K—
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $4.8KOver $308—
Scotland vs. North Macedonia: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $4.1KOver $28—
Slovenia vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $3.6KOver $520—
Bulgaria vs. Iceland: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $1.1KUnder $58—