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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ElonSpam | Flaznorp | joseph00677 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 41% (1533–2176, n=3709) | 53% (7602–6859, n=14461) | 45% (10–12, n=22) | 48% (18678–20261, n=38939) |
| Consensus PnL | $28K | $4.1M | $5.3M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #803 | PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #32 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 8% (1 of 12 open) | 65% (135 of 207 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 65% (31 of 48 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Geopolitics −24 pts, n=16 | Other Sports −28 pts, n=15 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 48% of 3214 at avg 47¢, ROI +2% | 56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 35% (won 9% of 1109) | 29% (won 11% of 403) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 15% (won 39% of 472) | 16% (won 38% of 228) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 23% (won 59% of 742) | 15% (won 62% of 214) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 28% (won 92% of 891) | 40% (won 94% of 553) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
19 on the same side, 17 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ElonSpam | Flaznorp | joseph00677 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-11-08? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $120K | Yes $2.1M | — |
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Claire Liu vs Alexandra Eala opposite sides · consensus Claire Liu | — | Alexandra Eala $6.8K | — | Claire Liu $12K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $13K | — | Over $1.7K |
| Çaykur Rizespor vs. Erzurumspor FK: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $12K | — | Over $2 |
| Luanda: Anna Blinkova vs Sofya Lansere opposite sides · consensus Anna Blinkova | — | Anna Blinkova $5.9K | — | Sofya Lansere $1.3K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $4.5K | — | Yes $1.9K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $613 | — | Over $3.3K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $3.1K | — | Yes $6 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $2.6K | — | Over $36 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $475 | — | Under $1.3K |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $851 | — | Yes $326 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $491 | — | No $524 |
| Will Brøndby IF win on 2026-11-08? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $912 | — | Yes $16 |
| Will SC Heerenveen win on 2026-11-08? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $318 | — | No $594 |
| Athletic Club leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $837 | — | Yes $60 |
| Will FK Pardubice win on 2026-11-08? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $684 | — | Yes $59 |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $272 | — | No $11 |
| Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $28K | — | No $14K |
| Will Çorum FK win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $10K | — | No $7.3K |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | No $14K | — | No $2.5K |
| Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $10K | — | No $4.8K |
| Will SSC Napoli vs. SS Lazio end in a draw? same side · consensus No | — | No $4.9K | — | No $5.1K |
| SSC Napoli vs. SS Lazio: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $6.7K | — | Under $40 |
| FC København vs. Brøndby IF: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $3.5K | — | Under $505 |
| Will Çaykur Rizespor win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $3.5K | — | No $6 |
| Will Erzurumspor FK win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $3.0K | — | No $66 |
| SSC Napoli vs. SS Lazio: O/U 4.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $2.7K | — | Under $28 |
| SC Heerenveen vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $1.3K | — | Under $331 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $95 | — | Under $1.1K |
| SSC Napoli vs. SS Lazio: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $353 | — | Under $453 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $721 | — | Under $20 |
| Boluspor leading at halftime? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $173 | — | Yes $240 |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) same side · consensus Athletic Club | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246 | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $203 | — | Under $41 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $51 | — | Over $29 |
| Will FC København vs. Brøndby IF end in a draw? same side · consensus No | — | Yes $51 | — | Yes $7 |