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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
DanielsDixonHomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghighrobloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18
Record (consensus markets)36% (4–7, n=11)54% (361–305, n=666)46% (387–447, n=834)57% (37–28, n=65)
Consensus PnL-$765$444K$509K$440K
Tracked asPM monthly #879PM monthly #6PM monthly #19PM monthly #33 + pinned
Sides with the consensus62% (8 of 13 open)76% (126 of 165 open)50% (26 of 52 open)57% (4 of 7 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NBA +45 pts n=29, ROI +40%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 8 at avg 54¢, ROI +46%100% of 194 at avg 53¢, ROI +47%100% of 280 at avg 51¢, ROI +44%100% of 37 at avg 58¢, ROI +36%
Entries under 30¢0%1% (won 100% of 2)6% (won 100% of 17)3% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢13% (won 100% of 1)32% (won 100% of 62)38% (won 100% of 105)32% (won 100% of 12)
Entries 50–70¢88% (won 100% of 7)59% (won 100% of 115)49% (won 100% of 137)43% (won 100% of 16)
Entries 70¢ and up0%8% (won 100% of 15)8% (won 100% of 21)22% (won 100% of 8)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

13 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketDanielsDixonHomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghighrobloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Knicks
—Knicks $5.1KPacers $20K—
Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 222.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $7.4KOver $11K—
Spread: Hawks (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hawks
—Hawks $4.4KBulls $13K—
Rangers vs. Canucks
opposite sides · consensus Rangers
—Rangers $2.3KCanucks $11K—
Grizzlies vs. Pelicans: O/U 235.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $13KOver $367—
Knicks vs. Pacers: O/U 218.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $6.6KUnder $5.3K—
Hawks vs. Bulls: O/U 245.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $3.9KUnder $2.8K—
Hawks vs. Bulls: O/U 246.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $2.5KUnder $3.4K—
Anadolu Efes vs. Virtus Bologna
opposite sides · consensus Anadolu Efes
—Anadolu Efes $3.6KVirtus Bologna $951—
Knicks vs. Pacers: O/U 219.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $400Under $1.6K—
Spread: Knicks (-8.5)
same side · consensus Pacers
—Knicks $6Knicks $26K—
Jaguars vs. Titans
same side · consensus Jaguars
Jaguars $840Jaguars $13K——
Bucks vs. Magic: O/U 224.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $510—Under $13K—
Cavaliers vs. Heat: O/U 235.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $5.1KOver $4.7K—
Florida State vs. Pittsburgh
same side · consensus Pittsburgh
—Florida State $3.0KFlorida State $2.7K—
Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5)
same side · consensus Pelicans
—Pelicans $2.1KPelicans $3.4K—
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $6Over $4.8K—
Patriots vs. Lions
same side · consensus Lions
Patriots $410Patriots $4.1K——
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)
same side · consensus Pacers
—Knicks $4.1KKnicks $397—
Knicks vs. Pacers: O/U 220.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $99Under $3.0K——
Florida State vs. Pittsburgh: O/U 51.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $1.4KOver $789—
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
Colts $650Colts $1.1K——
Spread: Hawks (-7.5)
same side · consensus Bulls
Bulls $520Bulls $445——