Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
D7422D98eA0d5b6Dd942a8eEd1d2a61945bFd0keeptheblueflagflyinghighnigiri99
Record (consensus markets)no settled market48% (617–662, n=1279)53% (472–417, n=889)
Consensus PnL—$549K$399K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #671PM monthly #18PM monthly #75
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position48% (25 of 52 open)40% (32 of 80 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won—100% of 422 at avg 52¢, ROI +45%74% of 676 at avg 54¢, ROI +8%
Entries under 30¢—5% (won 100% of 23)12% (won 40% of 83)
Entries 30–50¢—34% (won 100% of 145)23% (won 65% of 158)
Entries 50–70¢—52% (won 100% of 219)44% (won 77% of 300)
Entries 70¢ and up—8% (won 100% of 35)20% (won 99% of 135)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

13 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketD7422D98eA0d5b6Dd942a8eEd1d2a61945bFd0keeptheblueflagflyinghighnigiri99
UFC 334: Amanda Nunes vs. Kayla Harrison (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card)
opposite sides · consensus Kayla Harrison
—Kayla Harrison $9.4KAmanda Nunes $5.4K
Spread: Utah (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Arizona
—Utah $11KArizona $2.5K
Spread: Ducks (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Islanders
—Islanders $11KDucks $573
Spread: Wyoming (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Wyoming
—Wyoming $100UTEP $4.0K
New Mexico Lobos vs. Santa Clara Broncos
opposite sides · consensus Santa Clara Broncos
—Santa Clara Broncos $3.0KNew Mexico Lobos $149
Islanders vs. Ducks
opposite sides · consensus Islanders
—Islanders $1.6KDucks $1.3K
Montana Grizzlies vs. North Dakota Fighting Hawks
opposite sides · consensus Montana Grizzlies
—North Dakota Fighting Hawks $10Montana Grizzlies $210
Spread: Kings (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Flames
—Kings $55Flames $156
Spread: LSU (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Texas
—LSU $30Texas $145
Spread: Flames (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
—Kings $40Flames $31
Texas vs. LSU
same side · consensus LSU
—Texas $69KTexas $584
UFC 334: Caio Borralho vs. Yousri Belgaroui (Middleweight, Main Card)
same side · consensus Caio Borralho
—Caio Borralho $22KCaio Borralho $24K
Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State: O/U 73.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $17KOver $614
Spread: LSU (-4.5)
same side · consensus LSU
—Texas $16KTexas $134
North Texas vs. UTSA
same side · consensus UTSA
—North Texas $8.5KNorth Texas $1.4K
Spread: South Carolina (-7.5)
same side · consensus Arkansas
—Arkansas $7.3KArkansas $2.5K
Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State
same side · consensus Texas Tech
—Texas Tech $3.3KTexas Tech $5.0K
North Texas vs. UTSA: O/U 75.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $4.4KOver $201
Texas vs. LSU: O/U 47.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $174Over $1.7K
Utah vs. Arizona: O/U 55.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $3Over $1.7K
South Carolina vs. Arkansas: O/U 51.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $525Under $712
Wyoming vs. UTEP: O/U 43.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $7Over $345
Kobe: Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine vs Nitin Kumar Sinha
same side · consensus Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine
—Nitin Kumar Sinha $126Nitin Kumar Sinha $182