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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
D7422D98eA0d5b6Dd942a8eEd1d2a61945bFd0keeptheblueflagflyinghighMD14nigiri99
Record (consensus markets)no settled market48% (641–685, n=1326)84% (26–5, n=31)53% (498–446, n=944)
Consensus PnL—$564K$341K$664K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #671PM monthly #18PM monthly #108PM monthly #75
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position54% (22 of 41 open)no open consensus position41% (28 of 69 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NBA +20 pts n=19, ROI +16%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—100% of 422 at avg 52¢, ROI +45%90% of 29 at avg 72¢, ROI +20%74% of 676 at avg 54¢, ROI +8%
Entries under 30¢—5% (won 100% of 23)3% (won 0% of 1)12% (won 40% of 83)
Entries 30–50¢—34% (won 100% of 145)10% (won 100% of 3)23% (won 65% of 158)
Entries 50–70¢—52% (won 100% of 219)21% (won 83% of 6)44% (won 77% of 300)
Entries 70¢ and up—8% (won 100% of 35)66% (won 95% of 19)20% (won 99% of 135)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

7 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketD7422D98eA0d5b6Dd942a8eEd1d2a61945bFd0keeptheblueflagflyinghighMD14nigiri99
UFC 334: Amanda Nunes vs. Kayla Harrison (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card)
opposite sides · consensus Kayla Harrison
—Kayla Harrison $9.4K—Amanda Nunes $68K
Spread: Ducks (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Islanders
—Islanders $15K—Ducks $592
Spread: Utah (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Arizona
—Utah $9.7K—Arizona $2.4K
Flames vs. Kings
opposite sides · consensus Kings
—Kings $7—Flames $10K
New Mexico Lobos vs. Santa Clara Broncos
opposite sides · consensus Santa Clara Broncos
—Santa Clara Broncos $3.1K—New Mexico Lobos $616
Spread: Wyoming (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Wyoming
—Wyoming $91—UTEP $2.7K
Islanders vs. Ducks
opposite sides · consensus Islanders
—Islanders $1.6K—Ducks $578
Spread: Kings (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Flames
—Kings $50—Flames $156
Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State: O/U 73.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $19K—Over $677
Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State
same side · consensus Texas Tech
—Texas Tech $3.3K—Texas Tech $5.9K
North Texas vs. UTSA
same side · consensus North Texas
—North Texas $2.2K—North Texas $541
Utah vs. Arizona: O/U 55.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $4—Over $1.1K
North Texas vs. UTSA: O/U 75.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $843—Over $183
Wyoming vs. UTEP: O/U 43.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $11—Over $509
Kobe: Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine vs Nitin Kumar Sinha
same side · consensus Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine
—Nitin Kumar Sinha $157—Nitin Kumar Sinha $49