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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankbtnaFlaznorpRN1
Record (consensus markets)45% (549–663, n=1212)71% (42–17, n=59)53% (5890–5273, n=11163)47% (13283–14790, n=28073)
Consensus PnL$11.2M$12K$3.3M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #552PM monthly #22PM monthly #23 + pinned
Sides with the consensus66% (25 of 38 open)25% (2 of 8 open)67% (130 of 193 open)53% (19 of 36 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=141, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=280, ROI +38%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic——Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%67% of 42 at avg 53¢, ROI +14%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 81% of 57)26% (won 36% of 11)29% (won 11% of 423)10% (won 57% of 2606)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 201)14% (won 67% of 6)16% (won 40% of 243)22% (won 94% of 5665)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 99% of 196)33% (won 64% of 14)17% (won 62% of 255)36% (won 99% of 9185)
Entries 70¢ and up19% (won 100% of 109)26% (won 100% of 11)38% (won 94% of 561)32% (won 100% of 8345)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

17 on the same side, 17 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankbtnaFlaznorpRN1
Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $22KNo $3.0K—
Will Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $16KNo $4.4K—
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $12KNo $8.1K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $13KOver $941
Will Al Faisaly Saudi Club vs. Al Diraiyah Saudi Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $12KNo $1.2K—
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $4.7KNo $6.4K—
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $4.2KNo $2.5K—
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Talia Gibson vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich
opposite sides · consensus Aliaksandra Sasnovich
——Aliaksandra Sasnovich $4.2KTalia Gibson $1.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $927Over $2.9K
Will Abha Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $3.2KNo $111—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $3.0KYes $7
Will CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $1.4KNo $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $2.6KOver $35
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $466No $529
W100 Incheon: Katie Swan vs Aoi Ito
opposite sides · consensus Katie Swan
——Aoi Ito $92Katie Swan $281
W100 Incheon: Naho Sato vs Jia-Jing Lu
opposite sides · consensus Jia-Jing Lu
——Naho Sato $26Jia-Jing Lu $60
W50 Heraklion: Antonia Stoyanov vs Alisa Oktiabreva
opposite sides · consensus Antonia Stoyanov
——Alisa Oktiabreva $54Antonia Stoyanov $19
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $39KUnder $45
Taipei: Jan Kumstat vs Billy Harris
same side · consensus Jan Kumstat
——Jan Kumstat $6.9KJan Kumstat $16K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
——No $14KNo $2.4K
Will FC Andorra win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
——No $6.9KNo $1.6K
Will CD Tenerife win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
——No $115No $3.3K
W100 Incheon: Sohyun Park vs Yujia Huang
same side · consensus Yujia Huang
——Yujia Huang $85Yujia Huang $2.1K
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus No
——No $44No $1.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $102Under $1.1K
Will FK Zeleznicar Pancevo win on 2026-11-02?
same side · consensus No
——No $379No $662
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
——Boluspor $747Boluspor $44
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $702Under $20
FK Radnicki Nis vs. FK Zeleznicar Pancevo: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $239Under $46
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $117Yes $162
W35 Hamamatsu: Haruna Arakawa vs Yuzuha Negishi
same side · consensus Haruna Arakawa
——Yuzuha Negishi $169Yuzuha Negishi $105
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $262Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
W100 Incheon: Yuki Naito vs Sara Saito
same side · consensus Sara Saito
——Sara Saito $2Sara Saito $228
M25 Heraklion: Kai Wehnelt vs Benjamin Pietri
same side · consensus Benjamin Pietri
——Benjamin Pietri $13Benjamin Pietri $76