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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | GC-P | RN1 | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 46% (560–667, n=1227) | 46% (1169–1346, n=2515) | 47% (13371–14881, n=28252) | 50% (19558–19625, n=39183) |
| Consensus PnL | $9.4M | -$4.9K | $14.8M | $3.1M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #611 | PM monthly #28 + pinned | PM monthly #8 |
| Sides with the consensus | 60% (15 of 25 open) | 74% (99 of 133 open) | 64% (178 of 280 open) | 68% (80 of 118 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | — | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 80% of 61) | — | 10% (won 57% of 2538) | 7% (won 99% of 2623) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 203) | — | 22% (won 94% of 5565) | 21% (won 100% of 7839) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 201) | — | 36% (won 99% of 9017) | 22% (won 100% of 8452) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 115) | — | 33% (won 100% of 8250) | 51% (won 100% of 19323) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
62 on the same side, 54 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | GC-P | RN1 | UpTheBlues |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-11-04? opposite sides · consensus No | No $327K | No $1.2K | Yes $48K | — |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-04? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $64K | Yes $5.3K | Yes $31K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $1.3K | Over $1.5K | Under $21K |
| Will AEK win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus No | No $651K | No $6.2K | No $6.5K | — |
| Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus No | No $3.2K | No $1.8K | No $6.5K | — |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-04? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $56K | — | No $148 | — |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Tomas Machac opposite sides · consensus Arthur Fils | — | Tomas Machac $127 | Arthur Fils $11K | — |
| Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-11-04? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $22 | Yes $9.2K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $382 | Under $7.3K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $3.1K | No $3.9K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $1.5K | Under $5.2K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $2.4K | Under $3.2K |
| Bologna FC 1909 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $4.5K | Under $753 |
| West Ham United FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $4.2K | Under $721 |
| BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $489 | Over $4.0K | — |
| Frosinone Calcio vs. Venezia FC: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $1.4K | Under $2.3K |
| Will Charlton Athletic FC win on 2026-09-09? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $676 | No $2.9K |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $690 | No $2.6K | — |
| CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $268 | Under $2.7K |
| Exact Score: SK Slavia Praha 0 - 2 Arsenal FC? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $1.2K | Yes $1.5K | — |
| RB Leipzig vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $308 | Over $2.3K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $7 | No $2.6K |
| FC København vs. AC Horsens: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $2.1K | Under $154 |
| Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | — | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K | Athletic Club $223 |
| Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $3 | Under $1.9K |
| CA Rosario Central vs. CA Newell's Old Boys: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $535 | Under $1.3K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $35 | Under $1.5K |
| Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $1.3K | Yes $36 |
| CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Vélez Sarsfield: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $742 | Yes $155 |
| Exact Score: SK Slavia Praha 0 - 0 Arsenal FC? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $747 | Yes $2 | — |
| Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $360 | Yes $378 | — |
| Oregon State vs. Houston: O/U 49.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $686 | Under $9 |
| St Mirren FC vs. Celtic FC: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $3 | No $689 |
| Moreirense FC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $509 | Under $76 |
| Exact Score: Racing Club de Lens 2 - 3 Como 1907? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $445 | Yes $80 | — |
| Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 3 - 1 Real Betis Balompié? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $331 | Yes $143 | — |
| Boluspor leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $162 | No $288 |
| Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 1 - 3 Athletic Club? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $415 | — | Yes $4 |
| Exact Score: RB Leipzig 1 - 0 Manchester City FC? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $383 | Yes $19 | — |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club | — | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 | Athletic Club $347 |
| FC Porto vs. SSC Napoli: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $305 | Yes $35 | — |
| Spread: Thunder (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers | — | Cavaliers $8 | Thunder $273 | — |
| Bulls vs. Knicks: O/U 234.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $180 | Over $90 | — |
| Spread: Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club | — | — | Al Ahli Saudi Club $8 | Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club $250 |
| Hertha BSC vs. 1. FC Magdeburg: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $13 | Under $240 |
| Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $148 | Under $98 |
| Athletic Club leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $90 | No $139 |
| AZ vs. Willem II Tilburg: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $4 | Under $161 |
| OGC Nice vs. Le Mans FC: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $133 | No $20 |
| Will Lyn 1896 FK win on 2026-09-06? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $3 | No $134 |