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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpjdfngkdjfnfdRN1
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)53% (7602–6859, n=14461)44% (47–61, n=108)48% (18678–20261, n=38939)
Consensus PnL$7.6M$4.1M-$54K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #10was PM monthly #858PM monthly #33 + pinned
Sides with the consensus89% (32 of 36 open)66% (121 of 182 open)no open consensus position58% (35 of 60 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • MLB +5 pts n=47, ROI +2%
  • Soccer +6 pts n=23, ROI +5%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15NFL −11 pts, n=31—
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%44% of 106 at avg 44¢, ROI −2%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 403)12% (won 31% of 13)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)16% (won 38% of 228)56% (won 39% of 59)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)15% (won 62% of 214)32% (won 59% of 34)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)40% (won 94% of 553)0%33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

21 on the same side, 14 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpjdfngkdjfnfdRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Over $1.7K
Crystal Palace FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $13K—No $10
Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz
opposite sides · consensus Carlos Alcaraz
—Ben Shelton $3.0K—Carlos Alcaraz $3.8K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.5K—Yes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $613—Over $3.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $6
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $36
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Lille OSC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.8K—Over $765
Genoa CFC vs. AC Milan: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.4K—Over $63
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $475—Under $1.3K
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $851—Yes $326
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $491—No $524
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $837—Yes $60
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $272—No $11
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $311K—No $40K
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $88K—Yes $16K
Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)
same side · consensus Sunderland AFC
—Sunderland AFC $47K—Sunderland AFC $4.7K
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $18K—No $8.9K
CD Universidad Católica vs. CD Limache: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $11K—Under $12K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $2.5K
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $7.8K—Yes $5.6K
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $10K—No $483
Will FC Twente win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $7.2K—No $863
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Lille OSC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $5.2K—Over $705
Exact Score: Sunderland AFC 1 - 3 Chelsea FC?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.5K—No $21
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $703—Yes $517
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $95—Under $1.1K
Will KAA Gent win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $906—No $63
Spread: FC Twente (-1.5)
same side · consensus AFC Ajax
—FC Twente $749—FC Twente $83
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $721—Under $20
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $173—Yes $240
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $203—Under $41
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $51—Over $29
Exact Score: Crystal Palace FC 2 - 2 Liverpool FC?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $40—Yes $6