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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpQuantDeLaFugaziUpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)45% (571–700, n=1271)53% (5952–5311, n=11263)65% (671–365, n=1036)50% (19440–19510, n=38950)
Consensus PnL$9.4M$3.3M$107K$3.1M
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #22Hand-pickedPM monthly #7
Sides with the consensus59% (17 of 29 open)68% (279 of 411 open)75% (12 of 16 open)69% (140 of 202 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • MLB +59 pts n=918, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%58% of 1428 at avg 51¢, ROI +6%100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)29% (won 11% of 423)26% (won 21% of 369)7% (won 99% of 2623)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)16% (won 40% of 243)23% (won 45% of 324)21% (won 100% of 7839)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)17% (won 62% of 255)23% (won 71% of 328)22% (won 100% of 8452)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)38% (won 94% of 561)29% (won 92% of 407)51% (won 100% of 19323)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

16 on the same side, 16 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpQuantDeLaFugaziUpTheBlues
Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
Grizzlies $218KPacers $3.9K——
76ers vs. Pistons
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
Pistons $90K76ers $5.6K——
Spread: Pelicans (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
Jazz $19KPelicans $742——
Spread: Celtics (-11.5)
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
Celtics $14KBucks $2.1K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $5—Under $5.2K
Exact Score: FC Bayern München 3 - 0 FK Bodø/Glimt?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $83—No $1.1K
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $420—Under $762
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $720—Over $5
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
Grizzlies $357Pacers $326——
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $262—Athletic Club $347
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $495—Yes $1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $274—Under $82
Boluspor leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $10—No $288
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $111—Yes $3
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $42—Yes $36
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $51—Under $12
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Under $21K
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.0K—No $16K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $1.4K—Under $3.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Under $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
—No $1.1K—No $2.6K
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.7K—No $1.2K
Spread: Celtics (-12.5)
same side · consensus Celtics
Celtics $880Celtics $1.3K——
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)
same side · consensus Pistons
Pistons $442Pistons $1.6K——
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 3 Athletic Club?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $1.1K—Yes $161
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $101—Under $931
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $311—Under $416
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $705—Over $5
Spread: Pelicans (-2.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
Jazz $323Jazz $272——
CD Anaitasuna vs. Deportivo Alavés: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $14—Yes $175
Spread: SD Eibar (-2.5)
same side · consensus CD Pamplona
—CD Pamplona $127—CD Pamplona $6
Will Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $21—No $61