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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpHRAImail-.-RN1
Record (consensus markets)46% (560–666, n=1226)53% (5927–5304, n=11231)no settled market47% (13363–14875, n=28238)
Consensus PnL$11.2M$3.3M—$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #21PM monthly #473PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus55% (11 of 20 open)64% (228 of 356 open)50% (6 of 12 open)66% (124 of 188 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%90% of 10 at avg 86¢, ROI +8%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)29% (won 11% of 423)10% (won 0% of 1)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)16% (won 40% of 243)0%22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)17% (won 62% of 255)0%36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)38% (won 94% of 561)90% (won 100% of 9)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

51 on the same side, 30 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpHRAImail-.-RN1
Exact Score: Al Kholood Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Khaleej Saudi Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.4KYes $24K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Over $1.5K
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.7KYes $7.9K—
Exact Score: Al Fateh Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Riyadh Saudi Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $2.1KYes $9.9K—
Cali: Laura Samson vs Carole Monnet
opposite sides · consensus Laura Samson
—Laura Samson $596—Carole Monnet $9.0K
Exact Score: Al Ahli Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Taawoun Saudi Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $781Yes $8.3K—
Spread: Olympiakós SFP (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Stade Rennais FC 1901
—Stade Rennais FC 1901 $5.9K—Olympiakós SFP $32
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $2.5KNo $2.9K—
Cali: Alice Tubello vs Marina Bassols Ribera
opposite sides · consensus Alice Tubello
—Alice Tubello $3.1K—Marina Bassols Ribera $1.9K
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $3.8K—Over $14
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $1.4K—Over $2.4K
Costa do Sauipe: Gonzalo Bueno vs Eduardo Ribeiro
opposite sides · consensus Gonzalo Bueno
—Gonzalo Bueno $1.4K—Eduardo Ribeiro $2.0K
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.2K——Yes $96
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $317—No $2.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $35
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $1.0K—Yes $1.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.1K—Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $486—No $529
Will FK Zeleznicar Pancevo win on 2026-11-02?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $213—No $677
Spread: Hawks (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hawks
—Wizards $237—Hawks $430
Exact Score: Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Fayha Saudi Club?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $47Yes $565—
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
—Cavaliers $325—Thunder $273
W75 Petange: Oceane Dodin vs Eva Bennemann
opposite sides · consensus Oceane Dodin
—Oceane Dodin $281—Eva Bennemann $99
W75 Petange: Marie Weckerle vs Anna Siskova
opposite sides · consensus Anna Siskova
—Anna Siskova $274—Marie Weckerle $55
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
—Pacers $202—Grizzlies $119
Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
—Suns $125—Trail Blazers $99
Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $116—Over $86
Exact Score: Stade Rennais FC 1901 0 - 1 Olympiakós SFP?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $21—No $132
Exact Score: Stade Rennais FC 1901 0 - 0 Olympiakós SFP?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $50—Yes $63
Exact Score: Stade Rennais FC 1901 3 - 1 Olympiakós SFP?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $26—No $15
Exact Score: SK Slavia Praha 0 - 1 Arsenal FC?
same side · consensus No
—No $101K—No $4.4K
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $77K—Yes $20K
Rolex Paris Masters: Matteo Berrettini vs Ugo Humbert
same side · consensus Matteo Berrettini
—Matteo Berrettini $7.9K—Matteo Berrettini $14K
Spread: Stade Rennais FC 1901 (-1.5)
same side · consensus Olympiakós SFP
—Olympiakós SFP $21K—Olympiakós SFP $109
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $15K—No $5.3K
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $19K—No $73
Oxford United FC vs. Reading FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $9.6K—Over $7.9K
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $12K—Under $4.0K
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $9.8K—Under $5.4K
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $7.2K—Under $6.8K
Cardiff City FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $8.6K—Under $12
Bratislava 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Mika Brunold
same side · consensus Nishesh Basavareddy
—Nishesh Basavareddy $186—Nishesh Basavareddy $6.1K
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $3.4K—Under $2.4K
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $2.8K—Under $3.0K
Bratislava 2: Jerome Kym vs Luka Pavlovic
same side · consensus Jerome Kym
—Jerome Kym $261—Jerome Kym $3.6K
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
—No $3.2K—No $622
Cali: Despina Papamichail vs Renata Zarazua
same side · consensus Renata Zarazua
—Renata Zarazua $552—Renata Zarazua $2.4K
Bratislava 2: Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg vs Zsombor Piros
same side · consensus Zsombor Piros
—Zsombor Piros $2.4K—Zsombor Piros $296
Bratislava 2: Lukas Pokorny vs Toby Samuel
same side · consensus Toby Samuel
—Toby Samuel $2.0K—Toby Samuel $434
Villa Maria: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Hernan Casanova
same side · consensus Juan Manuel La Serna
—Juan Manuel La Serna $1.5K—Juan Manuel La Serna $13