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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
DFSgznhdfsnhzfgdshndzfFlaznorpprimmRN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market53% (7602–6859, n=14461)49% (1224–1251, n=2475)48% (18678–20261, n=38939)
Consensus PnL—$4.1M$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #969PM monthly #10PM monthly #52PM monthly #33 + pinned
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 2 open)67% (106 of 159 open)63% (5 of 8 open)55% (28 of 51 open)
Strongest topics
  • Soccer +5 pts n=197, ROI +7%
  • NBA +6 pts n=73, ROI +2%
  • NFL +7 pts n=47, ROI +16%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicCrypto −10 pts, n=22Other Sports −28 pts, n=15——
Settled positions, side won64% of 627 at avg 61¢, ROI +4%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢18% (won 15% of 110)29% (won 11% of 403)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 47% of 100)16% (won 38% of 228)41% (won 99% of 421)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢25% (won 57% of 158)15% (won 62% of 214)49% (won 99% of 508)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up41% (won 95% of 259)40% (won 94% of 553)5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

15 on the same side, 19 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketDFSgznhdfsnhzfgdshndzfFlaznorpprimmRN1
Jets vs. Chiefs
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
—Jets $67Chiefs $21K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Over $1.7K
Lions vs. Dolphins
opposite sides · consensus Lions
—Dolphins $168Lions $14K—
Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Aston Villa FC O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $1.4K—Under $5.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.5K—Yes $1.9K
1. FC Köln vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $5.7K—Over $4
Bengals vs. Falcons: O/U 52.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $605Over $4.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $613—Over $3.3K
Spread: BK Hacken (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus AIK
—AIK $3.3K—BK Hacken $465
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $6
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $475—Under $1.3K
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Elias Ymer vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo
opposite sides · consensus Juan Manuel Cerundolo
—Juan Manuel Cerundolo $1.6K—Elias Ymer $163
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $851—Yes $326
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $491—No $524
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $837—Yes $60
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $272—No $11
Spread: PSV (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden
—SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden $15—PSV $114
Will Viking FK vs. KFUM-Kameratene Oslo end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $5—No $114
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $57K—No $4.8K
Bengals vs. Falcons
same side · consensus Bengals
——Bengals $36KBengals $5.4K
BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Adrian Mannarino vs Toby Samuel
same side · consensus Toby Samuel
—Toby Samuel $5.9K—Toby Samuel $31K
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $24K—Yes $9.1K
Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $17K—No $4.5K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $2.5K
Spread: Bengals (-3.5)
same side · consensus Bengals
——Falcons $7.9KFalcons $1.6K
Will Académico de Viseu FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $2.9K—No $79
Will Heart of Midlothian FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $2.1K—No $73
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $95—Under $1.1K
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $721—Under $20
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $173—Yes $240
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $203—Under $41
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $51—Over $29