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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
AltMindBreakTheBankHomeRunHazardVirIntrepidus
Record (consensus markets)55% (30–25, n=55)56% (61–47, n=108)52% (591–550, n=1141)90% (18–2, n=20)
Consensus PnL$20K$770K$385K$530K
Tracked asPM monthly #883PM monthly #1PM monthly #10PM monthly #67
Sides with the consensus40% (2 of 5 open)53% (16 of 30 open)62% (92 of 149 open)60% (6 of 10 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NBA +48 pts n=37, ROI +45%
  • NFL +46 pts n=11, ROI +47%
  • NBA +51 pts n=15, ROI +40%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—100% of 58 at avg 53¢, ROI +44%100% of 317 at avg 53¢, ROI +48%100% of 15 at avg 49¢, ROI +40%
Entries under 30¢—0%2% (won 100% of 6)13% (won 100% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢—43% (won 100% of 25)32% (won 100% of 100)40% (won 100% of 6)
Entries 50–70¢—52% (won 100% of 30)60% (won 100% of 189)33% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up—5% (won 100% of 3)7% (won 100% of 22)13% (won 100% of 2)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

8 on the same side, 15 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketAltMindBreakTheBankHomeRunHazardVirIntrepidus
Spread: Jaguars (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Titans
—Titans $122KJaguars $4.3KTitans $109K
49ers vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus 49ers
—Cowboys $78K49ers $25KCowboys $275
Spread: Packers (-2.5)
same side · consensus Packers
—Vikings $204KVikings $12KVikings $12K
Spread: 49ers (-4.5)
same side · consensus Cowboys
—Cowboys $37KCowboys $2.3KCowboys $5.8K
Panthers vs. Saints
opposite sides · consensus Panthers
—Panthers $1.2MSaints $38K—
Jaguars vs. Titans
opposite sides · consensus Jaguars
—Titans $151KJaguars $35K—
Spread: Colts (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Colts
—Colts $132KDolphins $6.9K—
Pacers vs. 76ers
opposite sides · consensus 76ers
—Pacers $84K76ers $36K—
Spread: Jaguars (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jaguars
—Titans $104KJaguars $11—
Bills vs. Jets
opposite sides · consensus Bills
——Bills $29KJets $54K
Spread: Chiefs (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
—Chiefs $71KFalcons $2.7K—
Spread: Chiefs (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
—Chiefs $27KFalcons $7.1K—
Spread: Bills (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jets
Bills $6.7K—Jets $2.1K—
Spread: Colts (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Colts
—Colts $6.9KDolphins $8—
Spread: Colts (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Dolphins
—Colts $272Dolphins $6.5K—
Spread: Vikings (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Packers
—Vikings $496Packers $4.9K—
Spread: Packers (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Packers
—Vikings $2.3KPackers $464—
Vikings vs. Packers
same side · consensus Vikings
—Vikings $1.1M—Vikings $8.5K
Chiefs vs. Falcons
same side · consensus Chiefs
—Chiefs $942K—Chiefs $7.8K
Spread: 76ers (-7.5)
same side · consensus Pacers
—Pacers $78K—Pacers $292
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
—Colts $75KColts $2.4K—
Spread: 49ers (-3.5)
same side · consensus Cowboys
—Cowboys $55KCowboys $843—
Spread: Packers (-5.5)
same side · consensus Vikings
—Vikings $11KVikings $7.8K—