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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
1nvoker1BreakTheBankFlaznorpRN1
Record (consensus markets)58% (362–259, n=621)41% (589–853, n=1442)53% (7602–6859, n=14461)48% (18678–20261, n=38939)
Consensus PnL$17K$7.6M$4.1M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #968PM monthly #2PM monthly #10PM monthly #33 + pinned
Sides with the consensus61% (41 of 67 open)89% (32 of 36 open)68% (129 of 190 open)60% (38 of 63 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicCrypto −9 pts, n=20—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15—
Settled positions, side won48% of 564 at avg 45¢, ROI −1%97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢43% (won 5% of 243)10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 403)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢10% (won 38% of 55)36% (won 98% of 212)16% (won 38% of 228)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢12% (won 75% of 68)35% (won 100% of 205)15% (won 62% of 214)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up35% (won 94% of 198)20% (won 100% of 116)40% (won 94% of 553)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

22 on the same side, 16 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market1nvoker1BreakTheBankFlaznorpRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $13KOver $1.7K
Crystal Palace FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $13KNo $10
Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz
opposite sides · consensus Carlos Alcaraz
——Ben Shelton $3.0KCarlos Alcaraz $3.8K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $4.5KYes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $613Over $3.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $3.1KYes $6
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $2.6KOver $36
Elche CF vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $2.4KUnder $152
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Lille OSC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $1.8KOver $765
Genoa CFC vs. AC Milan: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $2.5KOver $63
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $475Under $1.3K
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $851Yes $326
Crystal Palace FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $921Over $119
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $491No $524
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $837Yes $60
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $272No $11
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
——No $306KNo $40K
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $79KYes $16K
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
——No $32KNo $26K
Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)
same side · consensus Sunderland AFC
——Sunderland AFC $47KSunderland AFC $4.7K
Will Çorum FK win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
——No $15KNo $12K
Will Elche CF win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
——No $18KNo $8.2K
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
——No $14KNo $8.9K
CD Universidad Católica vs. CD Limache: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $10KUnder $12K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
——No $14KNo $2.5K
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $7.8KYes $5.6K
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
——No $10KNo $477
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Lille OSC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $5.2KOver $676
Exact Score: Elche CF 0 - 0 Real Betis Balompié?
same side · consensus No
——No $747No $1.6K
Exact Score: Sunderland AFC 1 - 3 Chelsea FC?
same side · consensus No
——No $1.5KNo $21
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $703Yes $517
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $95Under $1.1K
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $721Under $20
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $173Yes $240
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $203Under $41
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $51Over $29
Exact Score: Crystal Palace FC 2 - 2 Liverpool FC?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $38Yes $5