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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026FlaznorpRN1UpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)35% (3634–6648, n=10282)52% (6399–5911, n=12310)47% (13828–15322, n=29150)50% (20405–20288, n=40693)
Consensus PnL$3.0M$3.3M$14.8M$3.1M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #772PM monthly #22PM monthly #29 + pinnedPM monthly #7
Sides with the consensus86% (6 of 7 open)74% (123 of 166 open)61% (34 of 56 open)67% (30 of 45 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • MLB +59 pts n=918, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won—56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37%
Entries under 30¢—29% (won 11% of 423)10% (won 57% of 2538)7% (won 99% of 2623)
Entries 30–50¢—16% (won 40% of 243)22% (won 94% of 5565)21% (won 100% of 7839)
Entries 50–70¢—17% (won 62% of 255)36% (won 99% of 9017)22% (won 100% of 8452)
Entries 70¢ and up—38% (won 94% of 561)33% (won 100% of 8250)51% (won 100% of 19323)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

19 on the same side, 21 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026FlaznorpRN1UpTheBlues
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.3KUnder $14KOver $1.4KUnder $23K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.4KYes $1.9KNo $5.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $1.2K—Over $360Under $7.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $9Over $1.5KUnder $5.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $1.1KOver $2.7KUnder $2.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1KYes $7No $2.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6KOver $36Under $1.5K
Spread: Heat (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
Heat $235Clippers $1.6KClippers $965—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $476Under $1.3KUnder $64
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $702Under $20Over $5
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $268Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1Athletic Club $345
Boluspor leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $116Yes $161No $289
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $7Over $28Under $12
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14KNo $2.5KNo $3.1K
Spread: Heat (-6.5)
same side · consensus Clippers
Clippers $963Clippers $103Clippers $240—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $174Under $42Under $791
Will Boluspor win on 2026-10-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.2K—Yes $757
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7KAthletic Club $226
Heat vs. Clippers: O/U 232.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $957Over $133—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $466No $529—
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $758Yes $130
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $549—Yes $172
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $61No $172
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $132—Yes $3
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $499—No $15K
Taipei: Charles Broom vs Alexandre Muller
same side · consensus Alexandre Muller
—Alexandre Muller $1.2KAlexandre Muller $4.8K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $22——Yes $3.9K
Spread: Lakers (-10.5)
same side · consensus Lakers
—Lakers $3.1KLakers $16—
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.7K—No $1.1K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $1.1KUnder $945
Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Quentin Halys
same side · consensus Quentin Halys
—Quentin Halys $811Quentin Halys $1.2K—
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 3 Athletic Club?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $1.0K—Yes $153
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $343—Under $768
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $411—Under $677
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $1.0K—Over $7
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Xinyu Wang vs Antonia Ruzic
same side · consensus Xinyu Wang
Xinyu Wang $418Xinyu Wang $231——
FK Radnicki Nis vs. FK Zeleznicar Pancevo: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $249Under $48—
Spread: SD Eibar (-2.5)
same side · consensus CD Pamplona
—CD Pamplona $127—CD Pamplona $6
Will Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $5—No $61
Big Bash League, Women: Adelaide Strikers vs Brisbane Heat
same side · consensus Adelaide Strikers
Adelaide Strikers $41Adelaide Strikers $5——