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PolyConsensus
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Consensus Won βœ“

Smart money consensus was Over β€” and it was correct. Winning outcome: Over

Heat vs. Clippers: O/U 232.5

Resolved Over. 45% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was right.

RESOLVED

πŸ†

Won

Consensus Traders

20

Over 45%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$17.6K

Combined PnL

$3.7K

Smart Money Signal

Over

9 of 20 top traders (45%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed11 hold an outcome priced under 50%1 small position dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Over100%
Under0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Under11 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares9,461
Combined PnL$-5.2K
Over9 traders
Total Value$15.9K
Total Shares15,889
Combined PnL+$8.8K
Under β€” 55%Over β€” 45%
nigiri99CTR
Under

Invested

$5,000

Value

β€”

PnL

$-2.5K

Record

46%

8556-10180 (18736)

AN
AnonymousUsernameCTR
Under

Invested

$1,099.99

Value

β€”

PnL

-$528

Record

71%

7187-2925 (10112)

FL
FlaznorpCTR
Under

Invested

$1,070.59

Value

β€”

PnL

-$670.69

Record

51%

25463-24164 (49627)

MU
Multicoloured-Serf
Over

Invested

$12,070.58

Value

$12.1K

PnL

+$5.9K

Record

48%

339-362 (701)

NM
NM-PCTR
Under

Invested

$888.11

Value

β€”

PnL

-$437.94

Record

64%

9816-5452 (15268)

VeryLucky888CTR
Under

Invested

$500

Value

β€”

PnL

-$240

Record

58%

46176-33333 (79509)

GC
GC-PCTR
Under

Invested

$500

Value

β€”

PnL

-$240

Record

64%

9860-5525 (15385)

TO
topdogbigboiCTR
Under

Invested

$539.51

Value

β€”

PnL

-$208.53

Record

47%

11568-12989 (24557)

DI
dips.CTR
Under

Invested

$238.09

Value

β€”

PnL

-$238.09

Record

47%

10541-12058 (22599)

MA
marvelousmarvinCTR
Under

Invested

$200

Value

β€”

PnL

-$100

Record

52%

25-23 (48)

0X
0x9b11866433281ade9f2811dbde8acdefc45f5375ARB<$100
Over

Invested

$1,708

Value

$1.7K

PnL

+$1.5K

Record

50%

4392-4322 (8714)

Both legs:

Over$168.8310.1Β’+$1.5K
Under$12.2437Β’-$12.24
0X
0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872
Over

Invested

$50

Value

$1.0K

PnL

+$950

Record

56%

8251-6435 (14686)

KE
keeptheblueflagflyinghighCTR<$100
Under

Invested

$45.56

Value

β€”

PnL

-$45.56

Record

46%

1488-1751 (3239)

GA
Gaditima
Over

Invested

$1,046.07

Value

$1.0K

PnL

+$983.77

Record

48%

7251-7943 (15194)

JU
justaluckydude
Over

Invested

$718

Value

$718

PnL

+$443.87

Record

53%

12084-10599 (22683)

0X
0x760907C8840491c8C86fdDB843D3f1d801786C4e-1771959662080
Over

Invested

$400

Value

$400

PnL

+$188

Record

51%

1887-1835 (3722)

RN1
Over

Invested

$120

Value

$250

PnL

+$130

Record

53%

60903-53272 (114175)

PA
pauleta23
Over

Invested

$188.83

Value

$188.83

PnL

+$87.84

Record

66%

24167-12294 (36461)

38
38791873984189
Over

Invested

$1,195.39

Value

$107.53

PnL

+$97.26

Record

48%

60543-65164 (125707)

PA
Pan9XCTR
Under

Invested

$249.89

Value

β€”

PnL

-$8.39

Record

50%

4375-4378 (8753)

TA
takeormake
Over

Invested

$108

Value

$108

PnL

+$52.92

Record

53%

4842-4378 (9220)

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Market Info

Condition ID
0x41e86837...09d462
Slug
nba-mia-lac-2026-11-04-total-232pt5
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