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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x4a1a27c4af018a874e97e551410953cb29e70208Flaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighndb1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market75% (677–224, n=901)43% (158–208, n=366)no settled market
Consensus PnL—$34K$54K—
Tracked as—PM monthly #14PM monthly #42PM monthly #154
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position61% (74 of 122 open)74% (32 of 43 open)100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
  • NBA +50 pts n=74, ROI +51%
  • Tennis +52 pts n=18, ROI +60%
  • Soccer +43 pts n=28, ROI +44%
  • MLB +5 pts n=17, ROI +44%
Weakest topic—Soccer −8 pts, n=40—NFL −8 pts, n=71
Settled positions, side won—44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23%100% of 151 at avg 52¢, ROI +47%54% of 496 at avg 57¢, ROI +1%
Entries under 30¢—34% (won 10% of 30)6% (won 100% of 9)19% (won 10% of 96)
Entries 30–50¢—19% (won 29% of 17)42% (won 100% of 63)21% (won 35% of 105)
Entries 50–70¢—13% (won 55% of 11)40% (won 100% of 61)27% (won 54% of 132)
Entries 70¢ and up—34% (won 83% of 30)12% (won 100% of 18)33% (won 91% of 163)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

10 on the same side, 16 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x4a1a27c4af018a874e97e551410953cb29e70208Flaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighndb1
Predators vs. Kings
opposite sides · consensus Predators
—Kings $138Predators $35K—
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Taylor Fritz vs Cameron Norrie
opposite sides · consensus Taylor Fritz
—Cameron Norrie $517Taylor Fritz $14K—
Spread: Magic (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Magic
—Magic $1.8KKings $8.1K—
Spread: Magic (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
—Kings $1.7KMagic $5.6K—
Magic vs. Kings: O/U 222.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $3.2KOver $1.3K—
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alexander Shevchenko vs Casper Ruud
opposite sides · consensus Casper Ruud
—Alexander Shevchenko $365Casper Ruud $3.0K—
Spread: Magic (-11.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
—Magic $698Kings $1.4K—
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group A
opposite sides · consensus Team Falcons
—Vitality $19Team Falcons $1.5K—
Thunder vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $132Under $1.1K—
Magic vs. Kings: O/U 219.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $816Under $157—
Spread: Magic (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
—Kings $520Magic $15—
Magic vs. Kings: O/U 221.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $59Under $362—
Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
—Thunder $366Trail Blazers $45—
Thunder vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 231.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $19Under $218—
Magic vs. Kings: O/U 213.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $25Under $195—
Spread: Trail Blazers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Thunder
—Trail Blazers $6Thunder $117—
Magic vs. Kings
same side · consensus Magic
—Magic $9.1KMagic $26K—
Spread: Thunder (-1.5)
same side · consensus Thunder
—Trail Blazers $2.4KTrail Blazers $16K—
WTA Finals Doubles, Group 2 (Doubles): Bucsa/Melichar vs Errani/Paolini
same side · consensus Bucsa/Melichar
—Bucsa/Melichar $1.1KBucsa/Melichar $2.9K—
Predators vs. Kings: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $13Over $3.0K—
Thunder vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 226.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $294Over $2.3K—
Spread: Magic (-5.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Magic $1.3KMagic $1.3K—
Thunder vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 225.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $73Over $911—
Thunder vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 219.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $201Under $103—
W75 Brisbane: Joanna Garland vs Hikaru Sato
same side · consensus Joanna Garland
—Hikaru Sato $77Hikaru Sato $19—
Predators vs. Kings: O/U 6.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $25Over $64—