Consensus PnL $88K · win rate 95% (70–4, n=74) · was PM monthly #948 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$88.4K
Record
70W / 4L
Win Rate
95.0%
of 74 settled
Batting Avg
—
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#139
Source
PM monthly #948
Record (90 d)
124/129 · 96%
Trades
254
Markets
114
Volume
$2.3M
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Specialties
69 settled consensus markets · held side won 96% at an average entry of 95¢No topic with 10 or more settled markets where 0x4a1a27c4af018a874e97e551410953cb29e70208's side won clearly (2 points or more) more often than its price implied.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 1%(won 0% of 1)
- 30–50¢: 3%(won 0% of 2)
- 50–70¢: 0%
- 70¢ and up: 96%(won 100% of 66)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.